### Summary of the *O' Lantern Title Scroll*: The *O' Lantern Title Scroll* is a cosmetic item introduced during RuneScape's Halloween 2023 event. It allows players to unlock a Halloween-themed title ("the O' Lantern") that is popular among collectors due to its seasonal exclusivity. Released on October 16, 2023, tied to Treasure Hunter, it became immediately scarce as it was only available for a short time before being removed after Halloween concluded. Its desirability spiked due to the title's popularity and the visual appeal of its glowing theme, which aligns with the aesthetics of spooky, limited-time items. ### Rarity: Its rarity is deceptive. While many Treasure Hunter promotions can flood the market with items initially, its availability window (just a few weeks in October 2023) and a concurrent GP sink from other Treasure Hunter offerings kept the item from oversaturating the market. Additionally, its limited post-event accessibility makes it one of the pricier Treasure Hunter collectibles for its timeframe. --- ### Price Analysis: #### Historical Trends: - **Initial Release (October 16, 2023):** Price started at a wild high of 950,000 GP as players grappling for day-one content drove demand. - **October 18-19, 2023:** It crashed to some of the lowest points imaginable (6 GP on October 17 before stabilizing around 10,001 GP on October 19). This crash hints that many players dumped scrolls rapidly due to Treasure Hunter oversaturation, or bots undercut aggressively after farming. - **October 21, 2023:** By this point, social buzz and a post-event supply contraction rebounded prices to 60,000 GP as investors entered the scene. Wealthier players held scrolls as medium-term assets while daily supply dried up. - **October 30-November 7, 2023:** In early November, the price settled in the mid-range of 15,000 to 20,465 GP as demand normalized. Some speculation occurred but with little hype to drastically increase prices beyond casual player interest. #### Post-Halloween (2024 Developments): - By March 6, 2024, the scroll saw both a mid-tier rise in price (13,385 GP) and a simultaneous crash back to 5,001 GP, indicating a chaotic secondary buyer/seller market — possible small-scale dump periods when convenience sellers offloaded surplus holdings. #### December 3, 2024: At 22,222 GP, it has increased in value, reflecting long-term collector efforts and scarcity as Halloween 2023 fades further into memory. This follows a classic RuneScape trend in which discontinued or event-tied items appreciate over time, particularly distanced from re-releases. --- ### Price Prediction (Next 3 Months): Based on historical trends and RuneScape's handling of rare seasonal items, expect the following price movement: - **Short-term (Dec 2024 - Feb 2025):** Prices will likely rise marginally to around 25,000–30,000 GP. Assuming no immediate Treasure Hunter re-releases or game-breaking dupes, demand will stem from late collectors acquiring the scroll well after its active release period. - **Long-term Risks (Re-releases or GP influx):** Jagex has been known to reintroduce previously seasonal items in Treasure Hunter or make them obtainable on rare occasions (e.g., Vic the Trader or Yak Track caches). If *O' Lantern Title Scroll* becomes re-accessible, its price could face dramatic downward pressure, falling closer to 5,000–10,000 GP depending on supply. - **Worst-case scenario from GP inflation:** Historically, dupes or Treasure Hunter cash injections (e.g., Jagex's 1B GP TH events in April 2024) destabilize non-rare items faster than fully discontinued rares. If gold inflation spikes significantly, scroll demand could plummet relative to higher-priority investments like discontinued holiday items. --- ### Flipping Margins: The title scroll has a volatile swing history, making it excellent for flipping during player trading surges: - **Best Margin Windows:** Around October/November and March/April annually (as seasonal events approach or collector behavior spikes). - **Typical Margins (2023/2024 data):** Buy for 10,000–15,000 GP during lulls, sell for 22,000–30,000 GP during collector booms or after-market rebounds. To maximize margin profit, watch out for casual players bulk selling after Treasure Hunter promos, then sell into enthusiast or social economy markets mid-season. --- ### Other Items to Buy: If you're interested in similar investments, consider: 1. **Discontinued Event Titles/Scrolls:** - Other seasonal favorites include *Snowdowns*, *Winter Warmers*, or *Pumpkin Party* titles, especially those tied to Christmas or Halloween events. 2. **Skilling Cosmetic Tokens:** Items like *Skilling Outfit Tokens* (e.g., Gorilla or Butterfly) share similar volatility and are excellent speculative assets for flipping. 3. **Treasure Hunter Exclusives (Limited-Time Auras):** Auras and titles carrying aesthetic or niche gameplay advantages behave in parallel. --- ### Seasonal Outcomes: - **Positive Seasons:** Title scroll prices spike around Halloween (October) or early winter due to themes aligning with seasonal popularity. December/early January often benefits from nostalgic trends in collector markets. - **Negative Seasons:** Spring/Summer (March-August) typically see downward movement as players prioritize non-seasonal goals. If Jagex introduces lucrative Treasure Hunter promos in this period, they may overshadow collectibles like the *O' Lantern Scroll*.