### **Summary of Pitch Can (full)**
The *Pitch Can (full)* is a utility item tied to fire-based mechanics in *RuneScape 3*, primarily useful for the **construction of incendiary defense structures** or fire-related skilling activities. It was introduced as part of *The Arc* expansion (July 25, 2016) and tied to the Player-Owned Port and island skilling loop. It provides indefinite fire fuel but is more a niche collectible than a high-demand utility item post-quest satisfaction.
Rarity is medium due to its dependency on interface-specific content, such as accumulating supplies in The Arc and active discovery during voyages. However, it is overlooked by the average player base, creating flux in the item’s liquidity.
---
### **Price Analysis**
#### **Historical Price Trends**
The price history of the *Pitch Can (full)* reveals significant fluctuations, which correlate closely with economic destabilizing events in the broader game, including dupes and gold influxes. Below is a breakdown of price developments by year:
1. **Early 2023:**
- Prices stabilized at 57M GP (late February).
- Shortly after, prices fell as low as 45M GP in early March after the January 29 Scrimshaw dupe that flooded the market. With trillions entering the economy, niche items saw depressed demand as players prioritized wealth recovery and high-liquidity items like dyes or partyhats.
2. **Late 2023:**
- By December 1, 2023, prices rebounded slightly to 55M GP. This coincided with the **Black Partyhat release** where gold likely shifted to rarer collectibles, driving moderate secondary interest.
3. **2024 Trends:**
- February to August saw steady movements between 58M to 62.5M GP. The **Necromancy skill release (August 2023)** generated demand for gold as a skill sink, but non-synergistic items like the Pitch Can stagnated in value.
- A dip occurred in November 2024 (49.5M GP) following the release of key updates (*Sanctum of Rebirth*, *Mining and Smithing rework*). These updates likely diverted funds toward skill re-optimization or high-margin materials rather than collectibles.
#### **Price Prediction (Next Few Months)**
Based on historical patterns:
- Price Range: **45M–55M GP**. A further bearish trend is expected due to the impact of the **GIM bank bug (November 1, 2024)**, leading to over-supply of duplicated items. Furthermore, the item lacks relevancy in skilling or combat meta post-*Mining and Smithing Rework*.
- Events:
- Potential Treasure Hunter promotions in late 2024 may stimulate GP influx and incidental speculative buying of collectibles like the *Pitch Can*.
- Early 2025 (anniversary events) could generate renewed interest as niche items often spike during promotional FOMO.
---
### **Flipping Insights**
- **Flipping Range:** 4–6M GP margins are typical given moderate liquidity.
- **Buy Point:** Below 50M GP, particularly after demand-dampening updates like combat patches (e.g., December-January).
- **Sell Point:** Late spring (~May-June 2025), when speculative interest in skilling and collectible items rises during Treasure Hunter promotions or post-major update rebounds.
Predictable periods of price depression (e.g., following dupes) create safe buy-and-hold opportunities. Focus on *undervalued secondary markets* such as inactive Grand Exchange niches or direct player trades.
---
### **Comparable Items to Watch**
#### **Utility Collectibles**
1. **Spicy Stew (full):** Like the Pitch Can, it’s rarely interacted with but offers occasional demand from niche uses (e.g., boosted skilling).
2. **Upgrade Visibility from "Sturdy Durable Reconex,” forgetting Reaves**
---
Ely Intelligence Analysis