### **Item Overview: Jaws of the Abyss** **Summary:** The Jaws of the Abyss, released alongside the *Croesus Front* on September 27, 2021, is a Necromancy-oriented power armor helmet. It excels in hybrid PVM content but is particularly prized for its versatility in Necromancy training post-release of the 152 combat rework (August 2023). Its most notable passive ability provides a 10% increase in adrenaline gain when using threshold abilities, making it desirable for maintaining sustained combat rotations, especially for Necromancy builds focusing on high DPS output. **Rarity:** Originally acquired as a drop or tradeable reward from the *Croesus* boss, the item was relatively rare upon release due to the encounter's reliance on coordinated team effort in a skilling-focused setting. While its rarity has reduced with time, particularly due to increased efficiency in boss runs and a larger player base farming Croesus, its continuing utility and synergy with Necromancy have maintained demand. --- ### **Historical Price Analysis** The price history reveals a striking evolution influenced by macroeconomic game events, content updates, and disruptive exploits: 1. **Initial Peak (2023-Q1/2023-Q3):** Following its release, the Jaws of the Abyss maintained relatively stable high values, as shown by peaks around 10-12M (March-September 2023). Its price spiked especially after the *Max Combat Level Increase* (August 7, 2023). The Necromancy overhaul elevated the item's utility due to its adrenaline benefit in optimized DPS builds. 2. **Descent into Chaos (2023-Q3/2024-Q1):** Unexpected crashes in price followed significant disruptive events: - *Red Portal Bug* (July 2023) and *Hero Pass backlash* (September 2023) shook player confidence, dampening a high-end gear market. - *Combat updates* in March 2024 incentivized Necromancy-specific changes, causing momentary price volatility, but increased accessibility meant lower speculative investments. 3. **March 2024 Spike and Current Dip:** On March 16-17, a brief surge to 632K can be plausibly attributed to combat system adjustments incentivizing high-tier combat equipment. However, subsequent data shows a steep regression to ~278K as of late March due to oversupply from players adjusting builds and changes to Treasure Hunter rewards (April 10, 2024), which effectively eroded wealth at a systemic level. --- ### **Price Prediction: Mid 2024 Trends** **Short-Term (Next 3 Months):** - **Predicted Price Range:** ~200-350K The Jaws of the Abyss remains viable for mid-tier Necromancy but will retain this low valuation as combat metas stabilize, and skilling bosses like Croesus saturate the market with supply. Additionally, continued inflation from *Treasure Hunter GP injection* will erode the purchasing power of lower-tier PVM gear unless Jagex implements price sinks. **Medium-Term (3-6 Months):** - **Predicted Price Spike (Post-Sanctum of Rebirth Release – July 2024):** Croesus-adjacent bosses may see increased farm traffic after the Sanctum of Rebirth release (July 22, 2024). Should Necromancy remain meta-relevant for the new content, moderate price recovery to 500-750K could be observed. Alternatively, a continued issuance of 1B GP rewards from Treasure Hunter may leave prices languishing at 250-300K. --- ### **Flipping Margins and Practical Advice** **Analysis of Flipping Margins:** - **Average Margin:** 40-120K (~15-30% ROI), depending on timing and market liquidity. Players can exploit high-volume swings tied to weekend PVM traffic spikes and content updates. March 16-17's spike from 424K to 632K illustrates a perfect storm of flipping opportunity. **Tips for Flipping:** 1. Target buying during Treasure Hunter cash injection events; these artificially crash gear values as players liquidate assets. 2. Sell after major Necromancy-focused announcements, e.g., a strengthened combat meta during scheduled 2024 combat reworks or expansions. --- ### **Complementary Item Investment Suggestions** Pair investments in Jaws of the Abyss with other items tied to the Necromancy ecosystem or similar high-volume commodities. **Items to Watch:** 1. **Binding Contract Amulets**: Consumed in Necromancy training, providing strong demand stability. 2. **Charcoal**: Essential for Croesus activities and is underproduced relative to its demand. 3. **Deathspore Arrows**: Vital for Ranged users, whose gear combinations often intersect with Necromantic setups. **Long-Term Speculation:** If Jagex nerfs high-level boss drops due to inflation concerns, Croesus-dependent rewards like these may temporarily spike in rarity, prompting long-term potential appreciation. --- ### **Seasonal Insights: When Prices Rise or Fall** **Positive Seasonal Outcomes (Price Spikes):** 1. **Summer (July-August):** New content releases often favor Necromancy-adjacent builds, causing demand for the Jaws of the Abyss and complementary items. 2. **Pre-Christmas (November-December):** Fresh player influx tends to drive demand in economically impactful items, though deflationary seasonal events (e.g., Black Partyhat release in December 2023) may counteract gains. **Negative Outcomes (Price Dips):** 1. **Post-Treasure Hunter Events:** Excess farmed GP scares buyers into holding, lowering trading volumes and forcing sale undercuts. 2. **Pre-Combat Meta Changes:** If Jagex teasingly shifts meta power away from Necromancy builds, dips occur as speculative holders offload bulk gear. --- The Jaws of the Abyss is a case study in RuneScape's volatile economic flux: a benefactor of meta changes and victim to inflationary oversights.