### Overview of Passage of the Abyss The Passage of the Abyss is a pocket-slot item introduced as part of the Shadow Reef Elite Dungeon (ED3) rewards on **July 25, 2019**, during the **Shadows Over the Sand** update. Known for its utility, it allows teleportation to six customizable destinations, making it invaluable for various PvE and skilling scenarios. It doesn't degrade on use but requires charged teleport charges (consumed per use) fueled by materials like Incite Fear, a drop from the aforementioned dungeon. This item is a favorite among elite clue hunters and boss runners looking for efficiency. In terms of **rarity**, the Passage of the Abyss is not classified as ultra-rare but is infrequently traded due to its niche nature and desirability among high-level players. It's regularly obtained as a drop from ED3, alongside other valuable items like the Grasping Rune Pouch. Its supply depends on how actively elite dungeon content is farmed, which fluctuates based on player trends. --- ### Summary of Historical Price Data and Insights The recorded price data from your list indicates the following trends: 1. **Early 2023:** Prices spiked in early January 2023 (peaking at 89.8M) due to increased pre-Necromancy farming activity and speculative demand. However, the 700B+/hour Scrimshaw duplication event later that month flooded the high-value item market, causing subsequent price volatility throughout the first half of 2023. 2. **Mid-2023 Dip:** By July 2023, the price dipped to 67M, likely due to broader fears of economic instability caused by ongoing hacks (August 2023) and red portal exploits luring wealth-heavy players. These conditions commonly lead to treasure hunters dumping items to stabilize cash reserves. 3. **Post-Necromancy Era (Aug 2023 -> 2024):** The price rebounded steadily after **Max Combat Level** was raised to 152 with the introduction of Necromancy in August 2023. This update drove an influx of high-level players farming content like ED3 to gain Necromancy XP, increasing supply but also demand due to renewed PvE utility. Other events, such as the Hero Pass backlash in September 2023, had negligible influence on the Passage specifically. 4. **2024 Trends:** The item peaked at **85M in January 2024**, potentially driven by speculative value recovery post-hacks and major PvP/Wilderness updates. However, subsequent economic disturbances, including the **Max Cash exploit** (May 2024) and Treasure Hunter GP influx, depressed its value to **74.2M** by the end of 2024 (December). --- ### Price Prediction (Over the Next Few Months) Looking forward, here are key considerations for its price trajectory: 1. **Short-Term Outlook (1-3 Months, Q1 2025):** - **Catalysts for Stability or Increase:** As the game stabilizes post-2024's exploits and GP inflationary disasters, the Passage of the Abyss is likely to see renewed demand due to its consistent utility, especially for Necromancy’s lingering relevance in ED3 and clue hunting. With fewer controversial updates expected in Q1, prices should stabilize in the **75-80M range**. - **Risk Factors for Decline:** Should another Treasure Hunter cash influx or major dupe occur, prices could skid lower to **60-65M**, as players substitute utility items with gold hoarding or focus on other investments like Bonds. 2. **Mid-Term Outlook (4-6 Months, Early Q2 2025):** - Elite Dungeon content demand might wane as newer combat or skill-based updates draw attention, reducing item demand. However, as a niche and limitedly supplied item, significant dips are unlikely. Expect prices around **70-75M** unless a sudden GP sink or demand spike occurs. --- ### Historical Trends Driving Price Spikes and Dips - **Price Drivers (Spikes):** - High engagement with meta-related content like Necromancy grinding. - Pre-major updates or player “gear-up” periods (e.g., prior to combat updates or skill releases). - Competitive clue-seeker PvM activity heightened by promotional events or treasure trails. - **Price Depressors (Dips):** - Widespread gold hyperinflation via exploits (January 2023 Scrimshaw dupe, May 2024 Max Cash exploit). - Excess ED3 farming due to dungeon-related bonus XP and spotlight promotions, often dumping excess supply into the market. - General GP panic due to high-profile exploits and hacks, pushing players to liquidate items quickly. --- ### Flipping Margins \[Flipping Potential\] Margins for the Passage of the Abyss depend on its demand stability and accessibility of ED3 farming during certain timeframes. Typical hourly trading margins fluctuate between **2-4 million GP per flip**, assuming stable market conditions. During volatility, margins can spike significantly above **5-7 million**, but risk increases due to price unpredictability. **Key Flipping Advice:** - Time purchases around GP influx events (e.g., Treasure Hunter rewards updates or pre-major patch farming). - Sell when prices begin trending upward from player activity spikes, typically post-update or meta shifts. - Avoid becoming overleveraged in periods of dupes or market-wide hoarding practices. --- ### Comparable Investments If you’re considering items similar to the Passage of the Abyss, focus on other high-utility, low-volume items with PvM or skilling applications: - **Grasping Rune Pouch:** Frequently sourced alongside Passage from ED3. It has steady demand from runecrafters and bosses. - **Grace of the Elves:** Another utility pocket-slot item for skilling efficiency with strong price trends tied to bonus skilling events or new high-level content. - **Luck of the Dwarves:** Especially useful for clue scrolls, influencing players targeting trimmed master clues post-Passage investment. --- ### Seasonal Impacts on Price - **Positive Price Trends:** - **Winter (Jan-March):** Post-holiday player engagement often drives demand for high-tier items. Expect price stability or growth. - **Summer Updates (June-August):** Major game expansions like skill releases or summer events often renew PvM farming and spending, impacting Passage prices positively. - **Negative Price Trends:** - **Fall Volatility (Sept-Oct):** Historically a period for Jagex disruptions (economy-impacting updates like dupes, exploits, or community backlash). By timing investments with these seasonal movements and maintaining awareness of historical event patterns, you can optimize returns on the Passage of the Abyss and related assets.