### **Analysis of Infinity Bottoms**
#### **Summary**
The **Infinity bottoms** are part of the Infinity robes set, a magic-based gear originally dropped from Treasure Trails in RuneScape before becoming obtainable through other means such as item disassembly or the Grand Exchange. As a cosmetic yet historically significant item, their value heavily fluctuates based on game updates, player wealth availability, and fashion scape trends.
- **Release Date**: Introduced in 2004 with the Mage Training Arena.
- **Rarity**: Once considered mid-tier magic legwear, their rarity surged post-M&S rework when certain niche items, including Infinity gear, gained niche appeal.
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#### **Price Trends & Historical Rarity Shifts**
Infinity bottoms have shown volatility tied to both intrinsic changes in the RuneScape ecosystem and extrinsic inflationary measures:
1. **2023-01-11 - Rollback Dupe**: The item’s price was at its *absolute low* (22M). The 2021-2023 economic instability flooded the market with wealth, devaluing mid-tier items like these.
2. **2023-06-19 - Recovery Phase**: Prices rebounded sharply (50M) as general player interest rose post rollback cleanups. Growing wealth redistribution saw collectors increasing demand.
3. **2024-05-05 - Post-Max Cash Exploits**: Post-digital economy exploitation led to a significant price dip (133M), as large-scale GP influx diminished long-term investment viability.
The **current peak price (185M)**, based on your recent data from September 2024, suggests two possibilities for its rise:
- The aftermath of inflationary gaming economics, where tradeables stabilize higher due to rising GP liquidity and collector purchases.
- Post-**Sanctum of Rebirth (July 2024)** fashion consolidation around niche items complementing old-school designs.
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### **Price Prediction**
- **Short-term outlook (3 months)**: The combination of GP saturation and diminishing GP sinks from systems like Hero Pass will likely see Infinity bottoms hit **190M-200M** due to (1) Necromancy fashion convergence and (2) collectors rounding out Mage outfit investments.
- **Volatility Factors**:
- More likely supply-side exploitation or bugs will push further upward caps while welfare returns demand dips.
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Ely Intelligence Analysis