### Summary of the Wand of the Cywir Elders: The Wand of the Cywir Elders is a high-tier Magic weapon requiring 85 Magic to wield. It is part of the Seren God Wars Dungeon drop table and pairs with the Orb of the Cywir Elders for dual-wielding purposes. Known for its high accuracy and good compatibility with abilities, the wand is a staple among high-level PvM magicians. Despite its consistent utility and enduring demand, it’s a non-degradable weapon, which means it competes heavily with items in its niche but is essential for players not using degradables like the Staff of Armadyl. **Release Date:** July 2015, alongside the release of the Seren-specific boss Helwyr. **Rarity:** Moderately rare, as it drops from a high-tier boss. However, its supply has been inflated over time due to higher DPS power-creep and Necromancy updates drawing interest away from Magic. --- ### Historical and Current Trends: Based on price trends: 1. **General Decline:** The Wand initially held a stable price around 35-40M GP but became volatile following gold injection exploits (notably the 2021-2023 dupes). These influxes caused inflation, which eroded the buyer base’s willingness to pay premium for mid-range PvM weapons like the Cywir Wand. 2. **Spike Due to Necromancy Update (August 2023):** Magic gear, including the Wand of the Cywir Elders, saw a temporary price surge. Necromancy increased max combat levels, driving Magic users to temporarily revisit core PvM playstyles as they adjusted their setups or explored rotation synergies. This explains the notable spike to **35M GP in August 2024** before rapidly tapering off as players settled. 3. **Market Crash (September-December 2024):** The Hero Pass backlash, the Sanctum of Rebirth boss flaws, and exploit-driven hyperinflation undermined major PvM purchases. This period includes prices bottoming around **15-17M** after early August’s highs. The Black Partyhat release (12/01/2023) further redirected GP liquidity away from mid-tier items like the Wand. --- ### Price Analysis and Short-Term Prediction: 1. **Current Price Range:** (~29.4M GP as of December 2024). Its recovery from the lows in late 2024 to almost **30M GP** follows recent fixes to gold flooding (limiting crashes) and the positive response to rebalanced Treasure Hunter rewards. 2. **Key Dynamics Influencing Price Over the Next Few Months (Jan-May 2025):** - **March-2024 Combat Update Residuals:** Continued new metas will sustain some demand for weapons, especially for hybrid-spec builds utilizing Magic at PvM combat hubs. - **Economic Stability:** Removal of high-gold dupes may soften hyperinflation fears. If Jagex maintains stabilized GP input, demand for trusted no-degrade Magic gear like this wand may trend upward slightly. - **Treasure Hunter Distractions:** Treasure Hunter's GP-driven reward addiction could lead to smaller periods of liquidity loss among mid-tier buyers. **Price Prediction (Q1 2025):** A marginal increase in price is likely; expect values between **30M-32M GP** barring catastrophic duplication exploits. However, if bonds face significant price hikes again (e.g., exceeding 70M GP), a migration of buyers to bonds/MTX-related items may suppress the wand again. **Final Note:** It is unlikely to surpass 35M GP unless paired PvM encounters intrinsically push Magic rotations as essential; no such rework seems imminent by late summer 2025. --- ### Flipping Margins: 1. **Low-Activity Period (e.g., Weekdays/Off-Peak):** When trading volume is low, flippers often see buy orders around **28M GP**, with successful reselling at **30M+.** 2. **High-Activity Periods (e.g., Major PvM Weekend Events):** Expectations shift upward. Buying around **27.5M-29M GP** and flipping for **32M GP** is achievable; however, spreads tighten during competitive PvM phases. **Typical Margin Range:** ~**2M–3M GP per trade** on average. Preplanned buy/sell cycles in response to Treasure Hunter weeks and world events (e.g., Necromancy Anniversary) can maximize flips. --- ### Associated Items for Investment: 1. **Orb of Cywir Elders:** The Orb syncs directly with the Wand. Fluctuations in Wand prices typically correlate strongly as players typically buy both at once for functionality. It shows slightly more pronounced dips due to its secondary nature. 2. **Staff of Light:** A cheaper alternative to the Cywir Wand, frequently seeing demand spikes in low-mid-tier Magic setups. Its price coasts with the Cywir Wand due to its own non-degradability. 3. **Seismic Wand:** A higher-tier comparison that also responds to the same Mystic meta. Invest in this during downtime on bonuses like Double XP or Treasure Hunter weeks if Cywir’s margin stagnates. --- ### Seasonal Advice for Price Prediction: 1. **Positive Seasonal Trends:** - Post-**Double XP Weekend:** Players return to high-end PvM. - Necromancy-special training windows (e.g., skill patches). - March-April 2025: Combat system rebalanced means even more hybrid experimentation. 2. **Negative Seasonal Trends:** - Events tied to **Treasure Hunter MTX GP flooding** – Black Partyhat/Egg Pet influx confirmed GP siphons. - **January-May** Duplication risks—historically spikes occur here. A **lower volatility window (March-May 2025)** makes consistent flips easier.