### **Overview of the Taboo Pet Token** The Taboo Pet Token was introduced on **October 13, 2022**, and allows players to unlock the *Taboo Pet*, an aesthetically eerie companion. This item gained significant collector and investor attention due to its aesthetic uniqueness and relative scarcity. It was initially obtained via **Treasure Hunter promotions**, with a higher likelihood during Halloween-themed events. It is part of the broader trend of seasonal pets being added to Treasure Hunter, with direct drop probabilities intentionally kept low. The token’s rarity is largely driven by its limited window of availability during **Halloween 2022**. The pet itself is untradeable, but the token can be traded freely, leading to speculation-driven volatility proportional to seasonal demand and Treasure Hunter trends. --- ### **Release and Overall Rarity** 1. **Initial Availability:** October 13–31, 2022, exclusively through Treasure Hunter. 2. **Market Saturation:** The release window was brief, and Treasure Hunter participants were focused on a variety of other Halloween-themed rewards. As a result, fewer Taboo Tokens entered the economy compared to more generic or utility-driven items. 3. **Noteworthy Rarity:** Compared to cosmetics like **plushie tokens** or **rare animations**, the Taboo Pet Token is rarer due to its absence from **post-2022 content refreshes**, ensuring little to no influx outside secondary circulation. --- ### **Price Analysis and Historical Trends** The token's price began its trade journey at a modest value in **October 2022** (~50–92M GP). However, speculative hoarding and limited availability caused an exponential price growth over time. Below is a timeline breakdown with key events influencing its trajectory: 1. **Initial Drop and Recovery (2022):** - Starting value hovered between **50M to 90M GP**, reflecting typical Treasure Hunter end-of-promotion price stabilization. - With the **Fresh Start Worlds (Sept 2022)** launch and Wilderness PvP removal (Oct 17, 2022), speculators overlooked niche items, leading to lower initial demand. 2. **Gradual Climb (Late 2022 to Early 2023):** - Prices surged gently through late 2022 into 2023 due to interest from collectors and inflation caused by **player dupes and hacks** (e.g., January 2023 scrimshaw dupe). - Reached **151-347M GP by Nov 2023**, showing momentum as investors stocked up on diminishing supplies. 3. **Massive Spike (2024):** - Major surges to over **850M–1.14B GP** were recorded during Q3–Q4 2024, coinciding with the **Black Partyhat release (Dec 2023)** and **Treasure Hunter inflation (April 2024)**. Players sought prestige-focused items, pushing demand for rare pets. - The **Max Cash Update exploit (May 2024)** further flooded GP into the economy, leading to hyperinflation that exploded the token's previously moderate valuation. 4. **Current Stabilization:** - As of December 2024, the token trades near **725M GP**, reflecting a correction from October's 1.14B GP peak as speculative hype diminishes. --- ### **Price Prediction** Assuming no significant re-releases or competing Treasure Hunter pets, the Taboo Pet Token’s price is expected to gradually climb over the next six months. Here’s the logic: - **Q1 2025:** Anticipated slight corrections from speculative bubbles and lower off-season demand for Halloween-themed items. Likely price range: **600M–750M GP.** - **Q2 2025:** Potential resurgence in price if Jagex introduces additional GP sources or Treasure Hunter scarcity incentives. Likely price range: **800M–950M GP.** - **Q4 2025:** Price spikes could repeat if Jagex reintroduces Black Partyhat-like events or cosmetics-speculation drives prices back into the 1B+ GP zones. Factors that may *negatively* impact price: - Eventual **Treasure Hunter re-release** or chance inclusion in bundles, drastically undercutting speculative demand. - **GP sinks or inflation controls**, which could reduce disposable wealth in the economy. - Competition from future **holiday-themed pets**, possibly diluting collector attention. --- ### **Typical Flipping Margins** The Taboo Pet Token typically has **wide flipping margins** owing to its low-volume, high-value trade nature. Expected margins: 1. **Low-activity periods (off-season):** Margins often sit between **10M–35M GP** per flip. Operational liquidity is critical due to infrequent trades. 2. **High-activity periods (seasonal demand/speculation hype):** Margins spike to **50M–150M GP**, but competition rises, requiring much faster listings to capitalize. --- ### **Similar Items to Invest Alongside It** 1. **Black Partyhat Token:** Released December 2023, highly speculative with similar limited-run event value scaling. Cross-demand potential with aesthetic investors. 2. **Drake Pet Token:** Another limited-edition pet token (earlier release, less rare). Hoarded by pet collectors. 3. **Crassian Leviathan Pet Token:** Unique pet token with mid-level rarity but highly desired. 4. **Halloween 2024 Event Items/Animations:** Seasonal alignment boosts relevance for Taboo investors. --- ### **Seasons and Predictable Trends** 1. **Positive Price Periods:** - Pre-Halloween demand spikes (late Q3 to Q4 annually). - Updates introducing new pet skins increase attention toward legacy pets. - Major GP influx events (dupes, gold rewards, etc.). 2. **Negative Price Periods:** - Post-Halloween drop-off due to low seasonal interest. - Treasure Hunter re-releases cannibalizing value. - GP removal mechanisms or renewed Jagex anti-inflation efforts. --- ### **Final Recommendations** For speculative investors, pairing **Taboo Pet Token** purchases with similar rare holiday cosmetics is a strategic hedge, particularly during low-volume periods like Q2. Be cautious of any Treasure Hunter update announcements that may erode exclusivity. Maintain GP reserves for opportunistic buys during predictable post-season price dips (e.g., post-Halloween Q1 2025).