### **Emerald Title Scroll: Overview and Summary** The **Emerald Title Scroll** is a cosmetic item that unlocks the prestigious "Emerald" title in RuneScape 3. Released on **September 1, 2022**, it was initially obtainable through Treasure Hunter, making it a promotional and time-limited item tied to RNG mechanics. Its rarity stems from the nature of Treasure Hunter promotions, as items like these rely heavily on the number of active participants during such events. Historically, players who do not obtain the title during its release often rely on secondary markets, leading to fluctuating supply and demand. Its price history shows a dramatic pattern of volatility punctuated by events like updates, bugs, and intermittent re-releases. --- ### **Historical Price Insights and Analysis** Analyzing the data provided: - The **initial price trend** upon release in September 2022 showed rapid fluctuation, starting at **10M GP on September 1, 2022**, stabilizing in the **3M–4M GP range** soon after, likely due to Treasure Hunter activity saturating the market temporarily. - By **February 2023**, the value experienced its peak (13M GP). A likely cause was the scarcity of Treasure Hunter re-releases combined with the impact of the **January 29 scrimshaw dupe** and a subsequent influx of GP that artificially inflated rare/cosmetic item prices. - Post-February 2023, its price plummeted (2.17M GP by March 2023), directly correlating with **mass player hacks (Feb 2023)** and overall anxiety in the market caused by wealth redistribution and item drops. - During **March 2024**, post-combat updates reignited demand in the economy for status or prestigious items, explaining a brief spike to 73K GP. - Most recently, the **1 GP price entry recorded near August 2024** strongly suggests either a buyout manipulation (merchant dumping at lower limits) or max cash exploits, such as those on **May 15, 2024**, directly impacting liquidity and trust in the market. --- ### **Future Price Prediction (Next 3–6 Months)** 1. **Short-Term (3 Months):** - The Emerald Title Scroll is unlikely to see Treasure Hunter re-releases soon due to its time-limited nature. Recent Treasure Hunter GP injection (April 2024's 1B GP prizes) has triggered minor inflation across cosmetics. This could result in prices **stabilizing around 1.5M–2M GP**. - However, anticipated **holiday events (Halloween/Christmas 2024)** may shift focus toward exclusive seasonal promotions, suppressing demand for titles temporarily. 2. **Medium-Term (6 Months):** - The **Sanctum of Rebirth (July 2024)** and the ongoing **Mining and Smithing rework (August 2024)** may direct GP flows toward utility-based investments, limiting growth for pure cosmetics. - An upward trajectory can be expected in early **2025**, as Jagex revisits promotional Treasure Hunter items, creating artificial scarcity. Price could recover toward **3M–5M GP** assuming no GP-draining events occur. 3. **Risk Factors:** - Additional GP injections (such as dupes, max cash exploits, or GP sink failures) can suppress high-end cosmetic markets like the Emerald Title Scroll, as player focus shifts to necessities. --- ### **Typical Flipping Margins** - **Flipping Range:** The Emerald Title Scroll typically operates on high volatility due to niche demand. Current margins generally hover between **5%–20%**, with average profits of **100K–250K GP per flip** at volumes of 2–4 trades per day. - **Key Opportunities:** - Post-update dips are prime megaflipping windows as overstock floods the market. For instance, during 2022's Treasure Hunter release, prices dipped to **3M**, allowing resales at 4M GP. - Keep an eye on poorly timed high-volume sales, especially from panic merchants. --- ### **Related Investment Alternatives** If you are interested in rare titles or promotional cosmetics with similar price trends, consider diversifying your portfolio: 1. **Ruby Title Scroll (same release period):** - Typically follows similar price movements but trades at slightly higher values due to aesthetic preferences. Excellent long-term hold during dry promotion weeks. 2. **Halo Turbo Skulls (discontinued Treasure Hunter override):** - Cosmetic demand is cyclical; items like these spike during player-driven "style contests" or community events. 3. **Golden Party Hat:** - A more high-value but historically stable investment with consistent upward pressure given its rarity. ### **Seasonal Market Trends** 1. **Positive Outcomes (Price Rises):** - **January–March (Post-Christmas Boom):** Players flush with GP from holiday releases often splurge on cosmetics. - **Dry Summer Months (July–August):** Content releases and endgame expansions draw wealth into obscure niches, including minor Treasure Hunter items. 2. **Negative Outcomes (Price Drops):** - **Festive Treasure Hunter events (October–December):** Major promotions outweigh smaller re-releases. Players save bonds for premium gamble items like Black Partyhats or seasonal weapons. - **Unexpected Exploits/Dupes (e.g., May 2024 max cash exploit):** Unexpected market flood of GP causes instability. --- ### **Conclusion** The Emerald Title Scroll is a volatile yet opportunistic flipping item that requires timing player sentiment and Treasure Hunter re-releases. While short-to-mid-term growth potential exists, returns remain constrained due to GP market turbulence and promotional saturation. Pair with similarly aged Treasure Hunter rewards or high-demand overrides like limited holiday gear to optimize your investments. Monitor updates and price trends closely to capitalize on sudden dips and re-evaluation events!