### **Analysis of Vestments of Havoc Boots** #### **Summary of the Item** The Vestments of Havoc Boots are a high-tier hybrid item introduced as part of the *Vestments of Havoc* outfit, dropped by Zamorak, Lord of Chaos in Elder God Wars Dungeon, specifically his "Elite Dungeon 4" encounter. These boots provide elite hybrid armor bonuses and synergize with the Chaos Roar ability, making them an attractive option for high-end PvM scenarios. Released on **July 4, 2022** alongside the Zamorakian Undercity update, they’ve maintained niche demand based on their role in late-game setups that benefit from hybrid bonuses. #### **Historical Rarity** The rarity of the boots lies primarily in the reliance on consistent Zamorak farming, requiring experienced teams or optimized solo methods. Their drop rate, combined with player aversion to repetitive Elite Dungeon 4 runs post-release, ensures that while not ultra-rare, they are in shorter supply compared to tradeable augmentable PvM gear like Cryptbloom or T95 weapon components. --- ### **Historical Price Analysis** A review of the provided data reveals distinct price patterns tied to RuneScape's broader economy. Here are some noteworthy trends: 1. **Initial High (July 2022 - Sept 2022)**: Prices spiked at **300M GP** shortly after release (July 2022) when demand outpaced player skill and farm rates. The peak at **269.9M–245M GP** stabilized until September. **Catalyst**: Hype from Zamorak's release buoyed prices as players sought optimal setups for the fight. The broader GP influx post-Duel Arena removal (Jan. 2022) and tokenized wealth likely bolstered purchase activity. 2. **Mid-Tier Dip (Sept - Oct 2022)**: Prices dived drastically in **Sept 2022** (Fresh Start Worlds introduction) to lows of **90M+ GP**, recovering later with the removal of Wilderness PvP in **October 2022**. **Catalyst**: FSW drained active players from the main game, stalling demand for PvM upgrades. Wilderness PvP removal re-focused meta interest on hybrid setups for new content. 3. **2023 Oscillation**: Throughout 2023, prices hovered between **105–140M GP**, with a spike to **151M GP** in **July 2023** post-Necromancy release (Aug 2023). The boots’ hybrid nature increased relevance for multi-combat encounters and experimentation with Necromancy abilities. **Catalyst**: Necromancy brought new utility to hybridization, increasing demand. However, economic shocks—Scrimshaw dupe (Jan 2023), Hero Pass backlash (Sept 2023), and hacks—prevented more stable rises. 4. **2024 Disruptions and Rapid Drop**: By **March-April 2024**, continued dupes and Treasure Hunter GP inflation (April 2024) pressured prices, but the boots reached an astonishing **195.5M GP** in **Aug 2024**, likely tied to the **Sanctum of Rebirth** release and an enhanced Smithing meta. However, this was followed by a steep decline to **73M GP (Oct 2024)** as market confidence plummeted again with **Max Cash exploits (May 2024)** and rising bond costs (June 2024). --- ### **Price Prediction (Next Few Months)** 1. **Short Term (Nov 2024 - Jan 2025)**: Expect price stability around **80–90M GP**. Though demand remains for hybrid setups in niche situations, economic shocks from recent dupes and the GIM bank bug (Nov 2024) indicate sustained deflation. An influx of liquid wealth prevents prices from freefalling but limits major growth. 2. **Mid-Term (Feb - April 2025)**: Prices may recover to **100–120M GP** as economy stabilizes and PvM-centric updates encourage returning players to engage in combat-centric content using hybrid loadouts. Jagex may introduce another Treasure Hunter GP sink or relevant PvM patch to address gold surplus, indirectly boosting demand. 3. **Long Term (Late 2025)**: Should PvM metas shift back toward pure styles, this item may flatline at **75–80M GP** or lower, becoming a niche collector’s piece rather than a must-have item. --- ### **Flipping Margins** Over the past 18 months, flipping margins for Vestments of Havoc Boots have been volatile due to market disruptions: - Typical flipping margins average **3–10M GP** on 30–60M investments during periods of relative price stability. - Post-shock recovery periods (e.g., Aug 2024 spike) offer exaggerated margins, with experienced traders flipping for **15M–25M GP** gains within days. Advised flipping strategy targets short-term lows after market disruptions (e.g., early Nov 2024), buying in at **70–85M GP** to sell during a future PvM-related spike. --- ### **Similar Items to Buy** 1. **Vestments of Havoc Cloak**: Part of the same armor set, sharing market volatility. Its higher rarity and accessory status make it a more speculative investment, particularly for collectors. 2. **Boundless Boots**: Alternative hybrid footwear obtainable via Zamorak drops. Similar utility but more affordable and less volatile for flipping. 3. **Cryptbloom Armor Pieces**: Cryptbloom items, especially the boots, follow PvM meta trends but are consistently sought after in tank setups, offering steadier and safer investments. --- ### **Seasonal Impact on Prices** 1. **Positive Periods**: - **Winter Events (Dec - Feb)**: Player activity peaks during holidays, increasing PvM participation and hybrid item demand, especially if PvM updates coincide. - **Post-Summer Updates (Aug)**: Large-scale content releases (e.g., new dungeons like Sanctum of Rebirth) surge hybrid armor demand. 2. **Negative Periods**: - **Spring Doldrums (Mar - May)**: Treasure Hunter disruptions (e.g., new dupes or larger GP rewards) inject liquid gold, stalling item growth. - **Post-Dupe Shocks (Ongoing)**: Any economy-wide rollback or exploit fix inherently depresses luxury item prices, particularly niche gear like hybrid armor. Investors should monitor broader game updates and future PvM announcements, ensuring accurate buys during economic troughs and careful exits during content-fueled surges.