### **Summary of the Item: Plague Rest Override Token** The **Plague Rest Override Token** is a cosmetic override token in **RuneScape 3** that allows players to transform their rest animation into a plague-themed animation, fitting well with darker, undead, or Necromancy-inspired themes. Released on **June 22, 2022**, it was introduced as a Treasure Hunter reward during a limited promotion. It was relatively niche upon release, valued for its aesthetic appeal to collectors and players who enjoy customizations. This item's rarity is twofold: limited availability during the promotion and its appeal as a collectible cosmetic from the Treasure Hunter ecosystem. Its price history reflects RuneScape's broader economic fluctuations and occasional resurgences in demand tied to updates like the release of **Necromancy (August 2023)** or increased cosmetic popularity trends. --- ### **Price Analysis and Rarity** #### Historical Price Data Insights: Looking at the price timeline: 1. **Initial Surge:** During its release (June 2022), prices spiked up to **100M GP** due to hype and rarity, followed by a quick drop-off as supply increased from Treasure Hunter players dumping stock. 2. **Market Stability:** By late 2022, the token stabilized at **~6M - 10M GP**, reflecting its diminished hype post-event and the presence of bulk sellers. 3. **Speculation & Spikes:** March 2023 saw unusual movement (7.8M → 36M GP). This aligns with speculative flipping and new gold entering the economy following the **January 2023 Scrimshaw dupe**, which inflated prices across rare and cosmetic markets. 4. **Post-Necromancy Boom:** October 2023 marked massive growth, pushing the token to **206M GP**, as Necromancy updates revitalized interest in darker-themed items. Collectors, fashion-scape enthusiasts, and returnees piled in, creating scarcity in supply. 5. **Current Stabilization:** As of May 2024, the token has dipped to **~24M GP**, likely reflecting cooling interest and Treasure Hunter rewards flooding the market with alternative rares. --- ### **Price Prediction** Using historical data and current economic trends: 1. **Short-Term (1-3 Months):** - The Plague Rest Token is trending downward from its late 2023 peak. Expect stabilization in the **20M - 30M GP** range due to waning hype and lack of immediate engagement with thematically relevant content. - However, **July 2024's Sanctum of Rebirth release** could indirectly spike prices if similar undead aesthetics/themes are featured. 2. **Mid-Term (4-6 Months):** - Seasonal Treasure Hunter events in late 2024 may introduce comparable overrides, leading to **minor competition or further diminishing demand.** - Price prediction: **18M - 25M GP** during this period, barring any re-release or unforeseen Necromancy-related updates. #### Factors Impacting Price Dips and Spikes: - **Dips:** - Competition from new cosmetic overrides, particularly from Treasure Hunter-driven promotions. - General depreciation following player hack-related gold drains or exploits (e.g., April/May 2024 dupes diminishing token affordability). - Any major content introductions like **Halloween 2024 cosmetics** that directly rival its aesthetic appeal. - **Spikes:** - Engagement spikes from undead or Necromancy-themed updates. - Artificial scarcity from hoarding by high-net-worth investors, who commonly influence mid-tier collectibles. - Jagex’s reluctance to re-release older Treasure Hunter items (e.g., no clear sign of this token being reintroduced). --- ### **Typical Flipping Margins** - **Buying Range (Current):** ~20M - 22M GP. - **Selling Range (Short-Term Peak):** ~26M - 28M GP. - **Average Margin:** ~4M - 6M GP for experienced flippers depending on market saturation and broader cosmetic demand trends. #### Flipping Strategy: - **Timing:** The token sees periodic spikes before major combat-related updates (Necromancy/Combat overhaul in **2024**), where flipping opportunities align with renewed hype. - **Volume:** Due to the rarity of listing, flipping is best conducted during high-activity hours when demand outruns token supply. Avoid bulk-buying as liquidity for niche cosmetics is usually slower. --- ### **Advice on Similar Items to Invest In** If looking to pair investments or diversify into similar assets: 1. **Cursed Reaver Outfit (Override Token):** - Another thematically dark cosmetic likely to spike during upcoming undead/seasonal updates. 2. **Zombie Walk Override Token:** - Heavily undervalued cosmetic tied to Halloween-like updates. Collectors often target walk overrides as complementary cosmetics. 3. **Festive Aura Tokens:** - Buy these at seasonal lows (post-Christmas) and flip during early/mid-year dry seasons when new players join. 4. **Eternal Fires Rest Token:** - Shares thematic synergy with Plague Rest but has less broad cosmetic appeal, making it a sleeper collectible for eventual spikes. --- ### **Seasonal Recommendations** 1. **Positive Price Periods (Buy/Invest):** - **June - September:** Necromancy-related events or pre-Halloween speculation consistently provide price boosts for dark-themed tokens. - **November - January:** Post-Halloween scarcity makes tokens more desirable as collectors search to complete sets. 2. **Negative Price Periods (Sell or Hold):** - **February - April:** Gold influx from dupes or Treasure Hunter GP updates typically devalues mid-tier cosmetics. - **October (Pre-Halloween):** The market saturates with competing cosmetics, pushing niche overrides downward. --- ### Final Thoughts The **Plague Rest Override Token** remains a solid mid-tier cosmetic with an unpredictable price trajectory shaped by player-driven demand, Treasure Hunter competition, and Jagex's focus on updating Necromancy. While prices are unlikely to return to their **206M GP peak**, the token remains a key speculative asset tied closely to thematic releases and fashion-scape collecting cycles. Focus on short-term flipping while still considering long-term risks from Treasure Hunter re-releases or comparable overrides.