### **Third Age Druidic Wreath Analysis** **Summary and Rarity:** The Third Age Druidic Wreath is an ultra-rare item from the Third Age Druidic set, obtainable exclusively through Treasure Trails. Its rarity rivals that of other Third Age items, especially within the Elite and Master clue scroll reward pools, making it one of the most prestigious skilling cosmetics in RuneScape 3. Introduced in late 2012, it represents a symbolic rarity even compared to other clue reward items due to its combination of aesthetic appeal and the enduring high demand for clue-chasing enthusiasts. As part of the broader Third Age Druidic set, the Wreath holds particular prominence because of its niche tribal and ornamental design, which distinguishes it from other Third Age armors focused on combat styles. The item is often sought after for status rather than utility, making it highly speculative on the Grand Exchange. --- ### Price Prediction & Historical Trends **Historical Price Movements:** The Third Age Druidic Wreath has undergone significant fluctuations over the last two years due to RuneScape’s shifting economy and external influencing factors like Treasure Hunter additions, botted GP influxes, and gold sink disruptions. Here are insights based on pricing data and events: 1. **Initial Peak Demand (2022):** Prices were stable around 750-800M with spikes corresponding to **Fresh Start Worlds (Sept 2022)**. The temporary influx of new players hunting for high-status symbols alongside existing GP inflations caused values to peak at **800M (Sept 4, 2022)**. 2. **2023 Volatility:** A significant dip begins post-January 2023 with dupe-related hacks and the Scrimshaw/Red Portal issues, driving prices down to ~**315M by Nov 2023**. The combination of exploits and increased supply of wealth devalues high-ticket items like the Wreath, considered "luxury purchases." 3. **2024 Signs of Recovery:** With the **Combat Update (March 2024)** and subsequent GP exploits (April–May 2024), prices sharply spiked back up past **600M (Feb-April)** due to increased activity and Treasure Hunter's direct injection of gold. **Sanctum of Rebirth (July 2024)** also contributes to modest gains due to increased player engagement. As of Dec 2024’s latest data, prices are stabilizing between **424M-470M**. --- **Future Forecast for 2025:** Given historical trends, the following price movements can be predicted: - **Likely Modest Recovery in Early 2025:** Due to seasonal spikes (e.g., returning players during January or post-holiday events), expect the Wreath to stabilize around **475-525M** in Q1 2025 assuming no major gold influx or dupes. - **Mid-Year Decline Risk:** Jagex’s tendency to raise Bond prices for monetization could dampen demand as players direct GP towards Bonds instead of luxuries. Additionally, potential Treasure Hunter revamps could undercut value if clue scroll rewards are further diluted. - **Long-Term Speculation—Climb Post-GP Sinks:** If no further dupes or injection exploits occur, the Wreath could return above **600M+ by late 2025**, driven by natural scarcity and collector interest. --- ### Flipping Margins and Investment Insights 1. **Current Flipping Margins:** Short-term volatility in Wreath pricing offers substantial flipping opportunities. Typical margins range between **20-50M per trade** for skilled merchants during periods of high liquidity (e.g., around event updates). Current low volatility between **424-470M** supports safer buys during dips <430M with exits near 460M+. 2. **Associated Items for Synergistic Investments:** - **Third Age Druidic Robes & Cloak:** Bundling Druidic items can attract premium buyers willing to pay higher for sets instead of individual pieces. - **Ornamental Skilling Items:** Consider rare skilling-based rewards (e.g., Shadow Drake pet or rare Treasure Trail cosmetics) with high speculative value. - **Master Clue Items** like the Gilded Scimitar or Orlando Smith’s Hat often mirror demand trends for Third Age Wreaths during clue scroll popularity spikes. --- ### Seasonal Analysis of Wreath Prices **Generally Positive Seasons:** - **January / February:** Post-holiday economic activity often increases in-game wealth circulation. - **July-August:** Summer updates frequently boost active player counts, driving up demand for rare items. **Negative Seasons:** - **April-June:** Historically, this period has coincided with GP flood events or Treasure Hunter overhauls, diminishing the value of high-end cosmetics. - **November-December:** Holiday-focused Treasure Hunter promotions (e.g., Black Partyhat) can divert significant wealth away from collectibles like the Wreath. --- ### Conclusion: Profitable Strategy Investors should focus on acquiring the Third Age Druidic Wreath during dips caused by Jagex updates such as GP influxes or clue-scroll dilution events. Watch closely for Q1 volatility and potential economic disruptions from new Treasure Hunter inclusions. Coupling Wreath investments with related items like other Third Age pieces or Master-tier rewards can hedge against stagnation and diversify gains. Insightful timing during high-activity months like Jan-Feb or late summer (if no major GP exploit occurs) can amplify returns.