### **Second Age Range Legs - Item Overview**
- **Release Date:** Second Age Range Legs were introduced as part of the *Second Age* cosmetic set, a prize within Treasure Hunter's "Second Age" promotional event, first launched on **May 22, 2017**. The set itself is a cosmetic nod to the RuneScape universe's lore-driven second age.
- **Rarity:** These legs are among the rarest treasure trail sets due to their restricted availability and inherently low drop rate during events. They are sought-after as discontinued cosmetics, ensuring their long-term desirability.
This item is prized not only for its uniqueness but also for its status as a coveted tradeable discontinued item. Its price frequently reflects demand linked to high-tier economics, updates, and rarity influx.
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### **Price Prediction and Analysis**
The price history of Second Age Range Legs exhibits dramatic volatility influenced by economic disruptions and game updates. Using the historical data:
#### **Price Trends & Correlations to Events**
1. **2022-06-21 Spike (849M GP):** Likely linked to Fresh Start Worlds hype (**September 2022**) when disenfranchised players consolidated wealth into cosmetics rather than volatile GP-based items. Fewer players dumping creates less supply.
2. **2023 Stability (300–310M GP average):** Post-Necromancy (**August 2023**) revitalized rune and unique gear demand, but cosmetics retained mid-tier values as gold sinks focused elsewhere.
3. **2024 Price Explosion (600M+ before drop):** The **March 2024 RuneScape combat update** likely boosted legacy item interest as players sought "prestige" cosmetics after a resurgence in older gear value speculation. Bubble burst post-**Easter 2024 duping exploits**.
4. **Latest (May 2024 Levels - 376M GP):** The **Max Cash update exploit** (May 15, 2024) likely flooded the market with GP, pushing prices slightly downward as genuine wealth fell relative to dupe-related inflation.
#### **Short-Term Prediction (Q3-Q4 2024):**
- The item is likely to regain price strength to **420–500M GP** by late 2024, influenced by the post-duplication cleanup and increasing demand for nostalgic treasures. Fresh inflation from **bond price hikes (June 25, 2024)** and the **Sanctum of Rebirth boss release (July 2024)** will catalyze wealth migration into high-value rares like Second Age pieces.
- **Downward Pressure Risks:** Potential re-releases or Treasure Hunter modifications would heavily devalue the item (this risk is notably low, given discontinued status).
#### **Long-Term Potential Beyond 2024:**
With traditional RuneScape economics favoring wealth storage during stagnation or rapid inflation, cosmetics such as Second Age Range Legs will outperform gold-based stores of value. Expect values near **500-800M GP** as rarity bottlenecks compound, barring re-releases or devaluation via external shocks.
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### **Flipping Margins**
Second Age items have notoriously high flipping potential due to steep bid-ask gaps, particularly during volatile periods. Recent activity for Range Legs suggests:
- **Typical Buy Minimums:** 350M - 375M GP.
- **Typical Sell Maximums:** 400M - 450M GP.
- **Flip Yield:** ~25M GP per flip.
Flipping becomes easiest during updates that introduce game-wide activities. For instance:
- **Post-Sanctum of Rebirth (July 2024):** Anticipate panic undercutting from players funding necessities for new PVM cycles.
**Advice:** Avoid buying during spikes or speculative hypes; rather, monitor declines following dupes, player hacks, or economic policy shifts like GP sources being nerfed.
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### **Similar Items to Watch**
1. **Second Age Set Pieces (Non-range):** The greater market for legs, chestpieces, and helms sees parallel trends. Price movements generally align, meaning a drop in Range Legs is paired with reductions across all Second Age armors.
2. **Ornamental (Discontinued) Gear:**
- **Torva Full Helm (Ornamented):** High flipping activity with clear correlation to cosmetic aesthetics.
- **Gilded Gear Pieces:** Functionally useless but holds steady market loyalty.
3. **Third Age Range Legs:** Direct competitor to Second Age for value appreciation; increases in value alongside high GP inflation.
### **Seasonal Influences**
Based on historical behaviors:
- **Positive Seasons (Price Rises):**
- **Pre-Updates Seasons:** Major engagement-driving mechanical updates (e.g., combat system refreshes) encourage wealth to flow into items like Second Age Range Legs.
- **Winter (End-of-Year):** Historically a booming period due to holiday-driven engagement and rare reintroductions boosting legacy cosmetics’ desirability.
- **Negative Seasons (Price Declines):**
- **Duplication Exploits:** Vast player wealth dumps into markets to liquidate.
- **Post-Promotion Sales (Rare Token Events):** Short-term drops within a month of Treasure Hunter or oddments-based overflow promotions.
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### **Conclusion**
Second Age Range Legs remains a pivotal asset in RuneScape's hyper-rare economy, capable of outperforming basic investments due to its discontinued, visually desirable status. The next 6-9 months look promising for growth to 420M+ GP barring significant economic disruption. For maximal returns, focus on predictable cyclicals like combat or inflation-feeding updates. Pair this investment with diversified holdings in complementary legacy items for robust market positioning.
Ely Intelligence Analysis