### Summary of Third Age Robe Legs Third Age Robe Legs are part of the highly prestigious Third Age Mage equipment set, obtained exclusively from Treasure Trails (elite and master clue scrolls). Released with the launch of Treasure Trails (August 28, 2007 in OSRS; RS3 inherited its design), these items are prized for their extravagant rarity, aesthetic appeal, and status as a non-degradable cosmetic armor piece with moderate magic bonuses (+23 Magic and +9 Prayer bonuses). Their primary allure lies in their prestige and collectability, not combat efficiency. #### **Rarity** The drop chance of Third Age Robe Legs depends on a fortunate roll from the Third Age table in elite or master clues, with an approximate probability of 1 in 160,000 per clue scroll. This extraordinary scarcity has ensured high valuation and desirability among collectors. --- ### Price History and Event Correlation The price data shows a dramatic fluctuation for Third Age Robe Legs, reflecting RuneScape’s economic events and overall market trends driven by dupes, major exploits, and content updates: #### **Key Observations & Correlations** 1. **Early 2023 Dip (January–March)**: - Price plummeted from ~92M in January to 83M by February, eventually hitting 80M. - **Cause**: The 700B/hour Scrimshaw dupe (January 29) flooded the economy with illicit GP, which triggered a short-term "wealth inflation" impacting high-end items. The concurrent mass hacks (Feb 1) dumped items like Third Age gear onto the Grand Exchange, further deflating prices. 2. **Major Surge Post-Necromancy (August 2023)**: - Prices skyrocketed from 131M in August to 152M by March 2024. - **Cause**: The Necromancy skill's launch (August 7) introduced massive player engagement, increasing demand for rare collectibles. With widespread hacking incidents luring high-value items out of circulation (August 13), scarcity drove prices higher. 3. **Late 2024 Spike (August 2024)**: - Price peaked at 241M by August after a surge in midyear. - **Cause**: Notable contributing factors include the Sanctum of Rebirth update (July 22), introducing a wave of energized collectors, and economic disruptions from the Max Cash exploit (May 15), which led to enormous liquidity in the market and escalating demand for niche high-value items. --- ### Price Prediction (Next 6 Months) Considering past trends and projected updates: 1. **Short Term (1-3 months)**: Prices are likely to slightly decline due to the aftermath of GP inflation from the August 2024 economic rework (Mining/Smithing overhaul) and the cooling hype for midyear updates. Expect a range of **220M–240M** in the short term. 2. **Long Term (4-6 months)**: As market stabilization occurs, the price should rebound and hover around **250M–270M** considering the sustained rarity of Treasure Trails items and likely demand from holiday engagements. Any Treasure Hunter or clue scroll promotions might add slight volatility but favor higher valuations. --- ### Flipping Margins - **Typical Margin**: Third Age Robe Legs frequently trade with margins of **5%-10%** due to their high GP value and collector demand. A skilled flipper can often secure a **10M–25M profit per transaction** during active trading periods (e.g., post-update or community events). - **Optimal Flip Targets**: Use Grand Exchange price spreads during update announcements or holiday periods, when wealthier players are more likely to purchase for collection purposes. --- ### Complementary Items and Seasonal Advice #### **Complementary Items to Invest In:** 1. **Third Age Robe Top**: As part of the same set, it shows similar pricing trends and allows bundling opportunities. 2. **Third Age Amulet**: A more niche piece of jewelry within the set; it presents slightly larger flipping margins (10-15%) but has slower trading volume. 3. **Second Age Mage Gear**: Although less prestigious, Second Age gear tends to follow similar demand trends for wealthy collectors. #### **Seasonal Pricing Analysis:** 1. **Positive Impact Seasons**: - **Winter Holiday Events (December–January)**: Surge of wealthy players, holiday giveaways, and promotional Treasure Hunter events increase demand for high-value rares. - **Post-Summer Update Hype (July–August)**: Major content updates like new bosses, skills, or economic reworks amplify engagement and resource influx. 2. **Negative Impact Seasons**: - **Pre-Spring Slumps (March–April)**: Historically lower player engagement during this time, exacerbated by any duping exploits or GP floods (e.g., Treasure Hunter Gold Rush events). - **Mid-Fall (September–October)**: Pre-Grand Exchange investor sell-offs before major end-year content releases can suppress prices. --- ### Final Analysis Third Age Robe Legs embody RuneScape's golden economy: timeless, rare, and lucrative. With an intricate history marked by macroeconomic fluctuations and player-driven demand, they remain a stable investment for high-value flipping. To maximize profits, engage in market activity around lucrative holiday seasons, monitor economic exploits, and diversify with other high-tier clue-based items like Second Age Mage sets or lesser-owned Third Age components.