### Overview of Third Age Robe Top The Third Age Robe Top is an ultra-rare item in RuneScape 3, originating from Treasure Trails (Elite clue scrolls) with a slim chance to acquire. Introduced on **August 28, 2007**, it remains one of the most prestigious cosmetic items due to its scarcity and nostalgic value. The item's demand is driven by high-level skilling and combat players seeking luxe cosmetics for fashion-scape purposes. Its rarity, combined with limited sources of acquisition, ensures its premium status. ### Breaking Down Price Trends #### Key Analysis of Historical Data: - **Major Price Movements:** - **2022-2023 Stability:** After fluctuating between 100M-140M in 2022, the item maintained stability through early 2023. - **January 28 - August 2023 Surge:** A steep jump from **87M (Jan 2023)** to **131M (Aug 2023)** coincided with Necromancy skill hype (**August 7, 2023**) and post-Bond price creep from Gold Farmers pivoting toward cosmetics. - **December 2023 Christmas Spike:** A **100M > 200M+ leap**, partly driven by speculative Gold inflow before the **Black Partyhat release** on **Dec 1, 2023.** - **2024 Gilded Surges:** The Third Age Robe skyrocketed in **April 2024 (175M > 288M, June)** fueled by item hoarding post-GP sink trends from Treasure Hunter changes and the **Sanctum of Rebirth** update. - **Recent Spikes (August-December 2024):** **Sanctum of Rebirth (July 22, 2024)** and shared Mining & Smithing revamps affected cosmetics, inducing shifted wealth into high-tier fashions. Its current trend upward signals a divergence into the 270M region. #### Rarity and Scarcity Plays: Third Age drops are linear, unlike some cyclic cosmetics tied to Treasure Hunter. This exclusivity creates sustained high-tier demand from whales (players wealthy through bossing, Necromancy profits, or Treasure Hunter gambling). --- ### Price Prediction (December 2024 Onwards) Using previous trends and key events, here's an expected short-term outlook: - **1 Month (Jan 2025):** Continued rise to **300M+**, supported by holiday frivolity extending to Year-End splurging and GP liquidity. - **3 Months (March 2025):** Risk of stabilization near **280M-320M** as Gold Farms recover bonds. - **6 Months+:** Future drops depend heavily on Treasure Trail updates, new competition (e.g., **Cosmetic alternatives debut circa Necromancer pass Token drop again skewing). Key disruptive risks affect, Bond prices, Or fresh meta. Kn