### Deep Analysis of the *Scripture of Ful* #### **Item Summary** The *Scripture of Ful* is a high-tier off-hand scripture introduced with the *Elder God Wars Dungeon* on **September 27, 2021**, during the release of *Croesus*, RuneScape’s first skilling boss. This item operates as a passive offensive effect, periodically unleashing lava storms that deal heavy area-of-effect damage. It is extremely popular among high-tier PvMers due to its synergy with multi-target encounters and sustainable DPS output. Its charges are maintained through *Manuscripts of Ful*, obtained as a drop from the *Croesus* boss. The Scripture is classified as a rare drop, boosted by the loot mechanics of Croesus (higher contributions per kill yield better rewards). Its value stems not just from its rarity but also from its utility, as scripture effects don’t require any active input during combat and scale well with modern combat meta updates. --- #### **Price Trends and Rarity Insight** The trade history of the *Scripture of Ful* demonstrates a highly volatile but generally upward price movement since its release. Key highlights include: 1. **Initial Hype Spike (November 2021):** The Scripture dropped at up to **774M GP** shortly after release, as it was deemed best-in-slot for AoE encounters. The inflated price during this period was partially fueled by post-dupe gold influx (Rollback Dupe in November 2021 introduced trillions of GP into the economy). 2. **Stabilization Period (2022):** After the dupe inflation cooled and Fresh Start Worlds lowered liquidity across the market in September, the price progressively stabilized into the **300M-400M GP** range. 3. **Growth and Spikes (2023-2024):** Several PvM-driven meta changes elevated demand for AoE-enhancing items like the *Scripture of Ful*. Post-Necromancy (2023) and the *Sanctum of Rebirth* release (2024), PvM strategies saw a resurgence in high-mob PvE content, driving prices to **540M GP** and higher. 4. **Recent Decline (November 2024):** Following the *GIM Bank Bug Duplication* (November 2024), its price dropped sharply to around **384M GP**, as market uncertainty increased and GP liquidity shifted toward other investments. --- #### **Price Prediction Analysis** - **Market Context:** Historically, the market for high-tier PvM items spikes after updates affecting combat mechanics, while exploit-based gold dupes and Treasure Hunter GP floods tend to suppress prices. - **Short-Term Outlook (3-6 months):** - The recent GP influx (from the *Max Cash Update* in May 2024, and the GIM bug) could suppress prices through early 2025, as the market stabilizes and cash seeks high-value purchases. Expect the *Scripture of Ful* to hover between **350M-400M GP**. - If Jagex introduces a new PvM encounter or Treasure Hunter XP boost focused on Archaeology (aligned with Croesus), a sharp demand surge should occur, temporarily spiking the price to **~450M GP**. - **Mid-Term Outlook (6-12 months):** - PvM meta updates linked to new Necromancy content or potential expansions to the *Elder God Wars Dungeon* storyline could drive long-term value growth. A price recovery to **~500M GP** is likely by mid-2025. --- #### **Flipping Margins** The *Scripture of Ful* boasts relatively wide flipping margins due to its medium trade volume but high demand among PvMers: - **Typical Margins:** 8M–25M GP per flip depending on time of day and overall player activity. Margins widen during periods of market uncertainty (immediately post-update or following economic exploits). - **Optimal Strategy:** Capitalize during evenings or weekends when PvMers are most active and demand spikes. Look for dips during Treasure Hunter GP floods and new item releases, where resellers liquidate to fund other investments. --- #### **Complementary Investments** To diversify risk while flipping the *Scripture of Ful*, consider investing in these related items: 1. **Elder God Wars Drops:** Items like *Cryptbloom Armour* and other Scriptures (*Bik* and *Jas*) fluctuate similarly as PvM meta interconnects their demand. 2. **Necromancy Foci:** Items such as *T90-T95 Necromancy Weapons* (i.e., the *Deathskewer*) synergize in demand trends, particularly when Necro PvM buffs are introduced. 3. **Manuscripts of Ful:** These consumables are essential for maintaining the Scripture, and prices often rise when the Scripture’s market price or usage spikes. --- #### **Seasonal Price Trends** - **Positive Seasons:** - **Winter Updates (December–February):** Jagex's holiday and Q1 PvM updates typically drive item prices up due to player influx and combat-driven content boosts. - **Post-PvM Boss Releases:** High-tier boss releases (e.g., if a *Croesus Hard Mode* is launched) spike interest in AoE gear, directly lifting items like the *Scripture of Ful*. - **Negative Seasons:** - **Treasure Hunter Overhauls:** Events like GP rewards from Treasure Hunter (*April 2024’s GP injection*) flood the economy with gold, devaluing assets. - **Disruptive Exploits:** Duplication or hacking incidents (e.g., *GIM Bank Bug* or *Max Cash Update Exploit*) suppress short-term confidence in high-value trades, driving prices down. --- ### Final Insights The *Scripture of Ful* remains a cornerstone upgrade for PvM specialists, especially for AoE-focused encounters. While recent economic disruptions have depressed its value, its sustained relevance in the meta ensures long-term resilience. Strategic flipping and holding should focus on capitalizing during PvM content hype, bearing in mind seasonal and exploit-oriented market fluctuations. Diversifying into related Elder God Wars items and maintaining high liquidity during Treasure Hunter floods will ensure steady profits in the chaotic RS3 economy.