### Deep Analysis of Scripture of Bik #### Summary The Scripture of Bik is a **book slot item** introduced in RuneScape 3 with the release of **Croesus**, the first skilling boss, on **September 27, 2021**. It is one of four Elder God scriptures, offering strong passive effects during combat and situational utility. Its core ability, **Power of Creation**, generates spore stacks that damage enemies in a wide radius, making it most valuable for multi-target encounters, Slayer tasks, or AoE-focused boss fights. Players obtain it from **Croesus cache treasures** as a rare drop, giving it inherently limited supply tied to the activity level of Croesus hunters. #### Rarity and Availability The Scripture is regarded as **rare but more accessible** compared to items from higher-tier PvM bosses like Raksha or Zamorak, due to the relative ease of engaging with Croesus. Despite this, its effective supply is kept in check by the niche nature of skilling-based bossing. Rarity surges during updates like skill reworks or combat changes that temporarily attract players to Croesus or AoE builds reliant on the Scripture. --- ### Historical Price Trends and Analysis The Scripture of Bik's price has shown **high volatility**, reflective of game updates and economic instability: 1. **Initial Spike (Oct 2021 - Dec 2021)**: The price surged up to **965M GP** within days of Croesus's release due to its powerful effects and hype surrounding boss mechanics. However, the **2021 dupe events (November)** caused a flood of GP, leading to inflation and volatile prices across the board. 2. **2022 Decline**: After the **Duel Arena removal (Jan 2022)**—which drained demand for high-GP PvP items—the dynamic shifted toward PvM-focused gear. Meanwhile, lower activity at Croesus resulted in a steady rise for the Scriptures until inflation from Fresh Start Worlds (Sept 2022) stabilized prices closer to **70M GP**. 3. **2023 Surge and Necromancy Impact**: Early **2023 dupes and account hacks** caused a substantial economic downturn, temporarily pushing the Scripture as low as **27M GP**. However, **Necromancy (Aug 2023)** gave the market a fresh influx of interest in AoE combat utilities, boosting the item's demand rapidly back to **~80M GP**. 4. **2024 Rebound**: The **Combat Overhaul (March 2024)** and the **Sanctum of Rebirth (July 2024)** attracted interest to AoE meta setups, lifting the Scripture's value gradually from **130M GP in August 2024** to the latest high of **~135M GP in December 2024**. --- ### Price Prediction (2025 Outlook) Given the historical trends, the Scripture of Bik will likely continue its **rollercoaster of supply-demand shifts**, with the following key factors: - **Contributing to price spikes**: - AoE buffs in future combat updates. - Treasure Hunter GP injections (introduction of more liquid GP to the market). - Reduced competition with other AoE equipment updates or buffs. - **Contributing to price dips**: - Potential re-release of Croesus as part of event rotations (e.g., Fresh Start seasonal content). - Expanded AoE options or future scriptures from unreleased Elder Gods. #### Forecast - **Q1-Q2 2025**: A minor dip is expected due to existing Care Packages systems spreading AoE capabilities across a wider audience. Prices could fall to **~90–110M GP**. - **Q3 2025 and beyond**: With future AoE-centric bosses or Slayer updates, the Scripture could resurge to **140–160M GP**, particularly if new combat metas lean heavily on multi-target utilities. --- ### Flipping Margins The Scripture of Bik exhibits **strong flipping potential**, particularly for players exploiting its price elasticity. - **Daily margins**: ~3–6M GP during standard periods of low volatility. - **High-activity spikes**: ~10–15M GP per item flipped during post-update hype or economic events (e.g., Treasure Hunter changes). Effective flipping requires active monitoring of supply shocks, particularly when Croesus attracts bursts of adventurers. --- ### Recommendations for Similar Investments To diversify your investments, consider the following complementary or alternative items: 1. **Scriptures of Ful, Wen, and Jas**: Although each serves different niches (e.g., Ful for high-burst PvM), they are similarly tied to game updates and market trends. 2. **Hexhunter Bow**: Another AoE powerhouse for Slayer tasks, which rises and falls based on RoTS and Necromancy balancing. 3. **Zamorakian Spear**: A budget AoE weapon that synergizes with multi-target farming strategies. #### Seasonal Trends - **Positive periods (price increases)**: - Combat skill updates or events introducing AoE-heavy challenges. - Holiday seasons like Christmas, where GP injections rise dramatically. - **Negative periods (price dips)**: - Summer months typically coincide with gameplay population dips in older MMOs like RuneScape. - Major updates introducing alternative mechanics for AoE combat. --- ### Conclusion The Scripture of Bik remains a **volatile, mid-to-long-term investment** with significant profit multipliers tied to RuneScape's patching cycle. It thrives when AoE builds dominate the meta but struggles during periods of market stagnation or redundancy through competing gear. Strategic flipping around game updates and seasonal shifts will enable savvy merchants to take full advantage of its market dynamics.