### Drygore Mace: Overview
**Release Date**: The Drygore mace was released on January 13, 2013, with the **Kalphite King** update. It's part of the **Drygore weapon set**, designed as high-level dual-wield and main-hand Tier 90 melee weapons, with the mace specializing in crushing damage.
**Rarity**: This weapon is rare due to its drop source, the Kalphite King, which offers lucrative but inconsistent drop rates and requires a high-tier combat approach. Its market accessibility, however, has diminished due to updates that shifted emphasis away from specific bosses. Regular updates introducing higher-tier content, such as Tier 95/100, have influenced its demand.
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### Price Analysis (Historical Insights)
**Trends with Data**:
- Early **2022 prices** saw notable spikes (e.g., **35M in January**), likely due to scarcity caused by the **Duel Arena removal** (January 4, 2022), which decreased GP sink mechanics and shifted GP into the economy.
- **August–October 2022** reflects a steady plateau (averaging **25–29M**) likely influenced by **Fresh Start Worlds (September 22, 2022)** introducing fresh demand for mid-to-high tier weapons.
- **2023 drops to sub-20M** were largely driven by the **Necromancy combat style release (August 2023)**, which lessened reliance on melee builds. This, coupled with the **Hero Pass backlash**, resulted in reduced player engagement, dampening weapon prices.
- A sharp price **fall to 11M (December 2023)** correlates with the **Black Partyhat release**, which flooded the market with flipped cash and shifted player focus onto trading.
- **March–July 2024 saw high volatility**:
- The **March combat update** increased melee interest temporarily, boosting prices (peaks **20M by February 2024**).
- **Treasure Hunter GP influx (April 2024)** and **Max Cash exploitation (May 2024)** further diluted the weapon’s value, leading to short-lived rebounds.
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### Current Valuation (July 2024): **21M GP**
While the **Sanctum of Rebirth release (July 2024)** might explain renewed interest, the Drygore Mace is largely stabilizing post-Necromancy shifts as melee regains relevance with Endgame players.
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### Price Prediction (Next 6 Months)
1. **August 2024**: Following the **Mining/Smithing rework**, melee Synergies with revamped armors will create **minor upward momentum**, driving prices up to **~22–24M**.
2. **September–October 2024**: **Halloween events + seasonal holiday content** create renewed GP sinks (e.g., promos, rares), moderately reducing liquidity in the market. Expect weapons like the Drygore mace to stabilize **20–22M** during this period.
3. **November–December 2024**: Historically, new gear releases, bug-induced market instability, or dupes occur in Q4, making prices **hypervolatile**. If melee's position grows weaker, the mace could plummet **below 18M**. Conversely, delayed high-tier weapon rollouts could buoy prices to **25–28M**.
**Long-term speculations (2025)** suggest melees (including Drygores) could retain midline values if combat enhancements focus elsewhere (e.g., ranged or mage builds).
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### Flipping Margins
Drygore weapons (specifically the mace and offhand) have earned a reputation for high-volume daily trades. Typical flipping yields average **3–5% per item** with additional premium margins during these notable windows:
- **Necromancy promotional events**, when specific non-magic weapons sell-off reveals temporary undervaluation.
- **PvM incentives during weekend buffs**, leading to sharp price recoveries.
Example: With **10m buy orders**, it's plausible to average margins of **300k per flip**, extrapolating to **5m/hour** profits under optimal trading.
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### Companion Investments
1. **Off-hand Drygore Mace**: Adds synergy with main-hands and frequently follows similar price trajectories. Flipping a set consistently outpaces flipping single items.
2. **Tier 90 Ranged Options**: Blightbound Crossbows, which mirror volatility from PvM-centric updates, provide alternate hedges against melee dependencies.
3. **Nightmare Gauntlets**: Complementary for slayer builds and often track melee weapon usage during holiday PvM bumps.
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### Seasonal Influence on Prices
#### Positive Market Conditions
- Post-update boss releases that feature melee weaknesses (e.g., **Sanctum of Rebirth bosses**).
- Combat rebalances indirectly buffing melee power scaling.
- **January–March and August** tend to bolster high-tier PvM-related weapons due to player renewal following expansions or updates.
#### Negative Market Conditions
- Cash influxes following **Treasure Hunter-related events** (e.g., **Christmas/April TH promotions**).
- Weapon devaluation in hype cycles for new tiers, especially with **leaked content** showing Tier 100 melee weaponry looming.
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Reiterating, the **Drygore Mace remains a lucrative mid-tier Traded stockpile**, tightly correlated to update momentum. Smart exposure to complementary items or manipulative buy-ins during seasonal dips could compound profits significantly.
Ely Intelligence Analysis