### **Torn Grimoire Page Overview**
The Torn Grimoire Page is a consumable item used to recharge the **Grimoire of the Abyss**, a powerful off-hand item designed for high-end PvM encounters. Each page restores the Grimoire for one hour, making it a critical resource for players involved in elite bosses like Solak, Zamorak, or similar. It was released alongside the **Archaeology skill update in March 2020**, tied to elite content in high-demand PvM circles.
Regarding **rarity**, it is a moderately rare drop but subject to high supply variances depending on the player base’s PvM focus and Treasure Hunter events—including promotions featuring Archaeology materials. This level of rarity, combined with its PvM-centric consumable nature, makes its price highly volatile depending on the meta.
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### **Price History and Analysis**
Using the provided price timeline, key trends can be observed:
1. **Early Stability (Mid-2022 to Early 2023)**
Prices stabilized between **5M and 7.5M**, reflecting steady demand due to the consistent relevance of the Grimoire in PvM. This period was free of game-breaking updates that significantly devalued or overinflated the economy.
2. **Early 2023 Spike (~Feb 2023)**
A sudden sharp rise to nearly **8M** coincided with the **Scrimshaw Duplication Glitch** on January 29, 2023. The glitch likely led to a temporary scarcity as attention shifted from farming Torn Grimoire Pages to exploiting dupes.
3. **2023 Necromancy and Post-Necromancy Volatility (July to August 2023)**
With the **Necromancy skill (August 2023)** massively altering the combat meta, the Torn Grimoire Page saw price spikes and dips. Many players either abandoned traditional combat styles or hoarded PvM supplies for future adjustments to Necromancy's balance. This disruption synced with a drop to **~4.6M by March 2024**, likely due to decreased Grimoire usage.
4. **Post-Max Cash Exploit and Mining Update (April to August 2024)**
Following the **April 2024 Treasure Hunter update** and **Mining & Smithing rework (August 2024)**, Torn Grimoire Pages started to rebound upward to **~5.28M by August’s end**. The April reward changes injected massive amounts of GP into the economy, likely stabilizing consumable markets like Torn Pages.
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### **Future Price Prediction**
Based on historical data and upcoming factors:
- **Short Term (3-6 months):** Prices will likely rise to **6M-6.5M** due to renewed PvM interest from the **Sanctum of Rebirth Raid** (July 2024) and post-rework gameplay shifts. Consumable demand often increases as new boss releases draw endgame players back into farming cycles.
- **Medium Term (6+ months):** Prices may stabilize around **5.8M-6.2M**, especially if Treasure Hunter promotions or another GP injection (via exploits or game updates) occurs.
- **Spontaneous Risks:** Any future Treasure Hunter promos flooding the market or further dupes could flatline prices again, potentially dropping values to as low as **4.5M.**
**Key Catalysts to Watch:**
- Boss release teasers for 2025 (particularly ones requiring high DPS phases, bolstering continued meta reliance on the Abyssal Grimoire).
- Economic GP adjustments (e.g., Jagex cracking down on inflation or future exploits related to recently increased bond prices).
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### **Flipping Margins**
Current flipping margins for Torn Grimoire Pages hover between **100k and 250k per unit** in active trading periods. Margin optimization depends highly on timing, with:
- **Weekends:** PvM-focused trade spikes mean higher volumes and better profit windows.
- **Mid-week:** Lower demand, resulting in tighter margins but better opportunities to purchase at low.
Typical margins improve during:
- **Surges in Treasure Hunter promotions** (increases supply, leading to buy-in opportunities).
- **PvM updates** (boost demand; sell near patch day).
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### **Complementary Items for Investment**
For flipping or long-term investment alongside Torn Grimoire Pages:
1. **Elder Overloads:** A PvM staple with predictable price increases before bossing updates.
2. **Prayer Renewals/Powerbursts of Vitality:** Other consumables directly tied to PvM longevity.
3. **Archaeology Materials (e.g., Dragonkin Bones):** Often increase in price following Archaeology-centric promotions.
4. **High-end Equipment Upgrades (e.g., EOF Amulets):** Trend alongside consumables during endgame content pushes.
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### **Seasonal Trends**
1. **Strong Markets:**
- **Summer:** Boss releases and heightened activity among PvMers.
- **Winter Holidays:** Boosted player counts and Treasure Hunter events increase demand for consumables.
2. **Weak Markets/Price Dips:**
- **Post-Treasure Hunter Promotions:** These often glut the market with consumables, creating buy-low windows.
- **Post-major nerfs:** If Jagex nerfs the Grimoire or releases an equivalent that competes, Torn Pages could plummet.
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### **Conclusion**
Torn Grimoire Pages are a staple item subject to strong but volatile pricing, driven by PvM metas and the broader RuneScape economy. Strategic flipping and investment rely on predicting bossing cycles, Treasure Hunter impacts, and economic fluctuations. Over the next several months, expect upward momentum to **6M+**, driven by PvM resurgence, but remain wary of sharp dips from promo floods or future inflation exploits. Focus on complementary consumables and broader PvM-safe investments for steady profits.
Ely Intelligence Analysis