### Summary of Laniakea's Spear Laniakea’s Spear is a Power-type Melee weapon introduced alongside the introduction of **Laniakea**, a Slayer master tied to high-level Slayer content. Released on **September 27, 2021**, during the Croesus boss update, it is a **level 75 weapon** designed as a niche Slayer tool with bonuses against creatures weak to specific Stabbing attacks. It’s popular because of its relatively affordable entry-point for mid-to-high-level content and its performance in Slayer tasks that require slaughtering large, stab-weak foes. The weapon originally entered the market at high prices around **20-25M GP**, driven by hype for Croesus-related combat content and its association with Slayer’s broad utility. However, over time, its price has seen significant downward adjustments, reflective of market competition with alternatives like **Dragon Rider Lance** and evolving game systems that reduced demand for weapon-specific niches. ### Rarity and Availability The spear is not especially rare on its own as it’s tied to consistent Slayer/Boss drop tables with moderate rarity. As Slayer content is farmed heavily, its price and supply are tied closely to general PvM trends. However, the influx of duped gold and rare updates affecting wealth distribution have amplified volatility. --- ### Historical Price Analysis and Key Influences #### Price Highlights: 1. **Initial Release Hype (2021):** Upon Croesus' launch, prices for the spear peaked around **20-25M GP**. This was inflated by excitement for Slayer-focused tools, as Croesus pushed an influx of Slayer-focused gameplay mechanics. 2. **2022-2023 Stability:** By late 2022 and into mid-2023, prices stabilized around **10-15M GP**. This was driven by players shifting to other weapon metas (e.g., upgrades to Dragon Slayer perks and the **enhanced Dragon Rider Lance**) and reduced interest in the niche stabbing bonus. 3. **Early 2024 Crash (Duplication Era):** The spear tanked to **~4M GP** in **May 2024**, owing to duping incidents that flooded the economy with trillions. Wealth bottlenecking into assets like high-tier equipment forced mid-tier items like the spear to experience extreme undercutting. 4. **Rebound and Recovery (Post May 2024):** The price fluctuated between **3.4M (July 2024) to 6M (October 2024)** after Dupes left the economy and new Smithing buffs made melee builds slightly more appealing. Slayer remained stable as a money-maker in these months, which helped the spear recover. --- ### Current Price and Future Prediction #### **Current Market Price (2024-11-04):** - The spear is trading around **5.7M GP**, showing steady growth since its low point in mid-2024. #### **Price Prediction (Next 3-6 Months):** - Assuming no game-breaking changes, incremental **upward price pressure** is expected. The weapon is well-integrated into Slayer/PvM activities, and its accessibility appeals to its core user base of mid-level players: - **6.5-7M GP by February 2025:** Steady Slayer demand coupled with lower economic shocks. - **Potential Spike to 8-9M GP:** If disassembly becomes relevant in updates. - **Potential Dip to 4.5M GP:** If new Tier 75-85 stabbing competitors (or buffs to existing options) render the weapon obsolete. Historically, patches introducing high-end bosses (e.g., **Necromancy/Combat Adjustments**) caused small niche weapons like the spear to spike as mid-tier players seek cheaper alternatives. Speculation that Slayer tools may receive skilling-based synergies in **early 2025 combat balancing** could lead to similar behavior. Key Risks: - **PvM Slayer Shift:** If Slayer becomes less meta for gold generation after future updates (e.g., Treasure Hunter overhauls increasing passive GP availability), Spear demand will shrink. - **Core Obsolescence:** Introduction of mid-tier hybrid weapons replacing traditional Melee-focused tools. --- ### Flipping Margins - The Laniakea Spear offers **average flipping margins** for medium-volume buyers: - Typical Margin: **250K-600K GP** for bulk buyers. - Arbitrage Strategy: Flipping in PvM-active regions/server times (e.g., Slayer Weekend events or promotions) can narrow margins to about **150K GP** but dramatically increase turnover. - Aggressive Buy/Sell: Predictable activity around PvM events like Slayer XP boosts. The general affordability of the spear makes it a great candidate for **low-risk flipping**, but low-volume trades sometimes undercut profits entirely. --- ### Similar Investments and Alternative Options For players seeking to diversify in related markets, consider the following: #### **Alternative Slayer Weapons:** 1. **Dragon Rider Lance** - Mid-tier Stabbing alternative that competes directly with Laniakea's Spear. - Prices fluctuate between **8-12M GP** but see surges during combat rebalancing periods (e.g., Necromancy patch in August 2023). 2. **Enhanced Kerapac’s Wrist Wraps** - Linked indirectly to Slayer meta through synergistic accuracy bonuses, particularly in Mage-stab-weak creature niches. - Slowly rising prices due to demand for more consistent mid-level bosses. #### **Likely Seasonal Trends:** 1. **Positive Price Seasons:** - **January-April:** Winter holidays generally result in wealth redistribution (new bonds and cash surges) that usually favor entry-tier weapons. - **August-October:** May see speculative rises before new slayer/boss content. 2. **Negative Price Seasons:** - Early **Januarys** post-holiday GP flood often tank “affordable gear.” - **Post-dupe chaos:** Dupes catastrophically lower mid-tier demand. #### Recommendation: Diversify into Slayer-enhanced consumables or augmentable armor (e.g., **Trimmed Masterwork**, **Reinforced Slayer Helm**) during downturns to smooth out volatility.