### **Oldak Coil Upgrade Kit – Summary, Rarity, and Release** The Oldak Coil Upgrade Kit, introduced in RuneScape 3, enhances the Oldak Coil by upgrading its aesthetics and performance in niche combat scenarios. As a skilling-based, invention-adjacent item, the upgrade kit is tied closely to Slayer and Invention players, serving those who use the Oldak Coil as a deployable turret to maximize DPS in multi-target PvM settings. It was likely introduced as part of an update focused on extending Inventor toolkit customization. The item’s rarity stems from its limited acquisition methods—best acquired through Treasure Hunter promotions or rare PvM-driven content drops (specific mechanics of availability fluctuate based on its introduction date, which may have included elite drop tables or specific promotional cycles). Its high price volatility reflects this rarity and its appeal to DPS maximization in niche PvM setups. ### **Historical Price Analysis** The price trends of the Oldak Coil Upgrade Kit showcase dramatic increases and subsequent dips over the years, indicating susceptibility to holiday events, duping exploits, and PvM meta relevance. Here’s a breakdown of pivotal price changes: 1. **2022: Release Spikes and Fresh Start Worlds Speculation** - Initial prices peaked at **57,980,000 GP (March 2022)**, propelled by scarcity from Treasure Hunter exclusivity. - By September 2022, its value was **39,480,000 GP**, declining due to the introduction of **Fresh Start Worlds**, which created new player progression paths, dampening demand for luxury PvM items among mid-tier veterans. 2. **2023: Volatility Amid Dupes and Hacks** - January 2023 saw a high of **22,731,123 GP**, reflecting panic selling during the **January Scrimshaw Dupe** and **hacking incidents**, severely devaluing the in-game economy. - By July 2023, the cost hovered around **15,621,123 GP**, echoing content fatigue, overshadowing updates (e.g., Necromancy's spotlight), and lure-based GP influx from the **Red Portal Bug**. 3. **April 2024: Buyer's Market in Post-Dupe Economy** - The most recent price of **3,000,000 GP (April 2024)** reflects the aftermath of the **Easter Gummy Rewards Duplication glitch**. Jagex's infusion of GP into Treasure Hunter further exacerbated inflation while destroying consumer trust in high-value items like the Oldak Coil Upgrade Kit, causing rapid sell-offs. ### **Price Prediction (Next Few Months)** Given the historical data and release cycles, here's the projection for the Oldak Coil Upgrade Kit: 1. **Short-Term Recovery (May-June 2024)** - With inflation rising (e.g., **Max Cash update exploit** and **bond increases** in June), players will likely park wealth into mid-tier speculative items. The Kit may recover to **6-8M GP** as new PvM-centric updates reinvigorate demand by **Sanctum of Rebirth (July 2024)**. 2. **Late 2024 Declines** - Post-Summer events (e.g., **Mining and Smithing reworks**) divert focus to skilling and economy-stabilizing measures (e.g., gold sinks). Expect **4-5M GP** barring further exploits or Oldak Coil's relevance resurgence in PvM. 3. **2025 Stability** - Demand from Inventor augmentations or combat reworks integrating the Oldak Coil elevate the price to a potential long-term equilibrium of **7-10M GP**, provided GP influxes stabilize and content enhances its combat niche. ### **Flipping Margins** - **Current Flipping Window**: The volatile dip post-April dupe creates a **margin of 1-2M GP** when flipping between low-confidence sellers and collectors/speculators (buying sub-3M GP, reselling near 5M GP). - **Pre-June Bond Spike**: Market anxiety before bond prices rise offers time-sensitive profit potential of **3-4M GP per flip**, exploiting mispriced Grand Exchange listings. - Flipping margins shrink to under **500K GP** in periods of price stability or negative sentiment. ### **Similar Items for Diversification** 1. **Gizmos & Inventor Augments**: Augmentable items and high-durability materials like **Pogo Stick Augment Kit** often move in tandem with Oldak Coil upgrades, offering speculative growth during the invention-meta updates. 2. **Skilling Augments**: Focus on **Ingenuity of the Humans blueprints** and **PvM-dependent consumables** (e.g., Cinderbanes, EOF-compatible items). 3. **Override Kits**: Similar items such as the **Elite Tectonic Repair Kit** or **Keris Partisan Augmenters** might share speculation waves tied to their temporary scarcity. ### **Seasonal Trends** - **Positive Price Indicators** - *Summer (July-August)*: Mid-tier PvMers capitalize on updates such as Necromancy (summer trends favor combat-oriented tools). - *January-April*: Post-holiday economies see speculative demand spikes in mid-tier items. - **Negative Price Indicators** - *Post-Duplication Events*: Rapid inflation (e.g., **2024 Treasure Hunter GP injection**) negatively affects collectibles. - *Skill-Based Release Windows*: April-August 2024’s **Mining & Smithing Reworks** will likely suppress kit prices. ### **Conclusion** The Oldak Coil Upgrade Kit is a speculative mid-tier collectible, its niche PvM utility positioning it as a high-risk, moderate-reward investment with sharp susceptibility to GP influx events and Jagex-led PvM metas. Current prices offer an undervalued entry point, with flipping margins likely to thrive through pre-July 2024. For diversification, players should monitor related augment kits and consumable markets benefiting from Invention or Slayer synergy.