### Analysis of Khopesh of Elidinis (Off-Hand) #### Item Summary: The **Khopesh of Elidinis (Off-Hand)** is a Tier 92 melee weapon introduced as part of the Elite Dungeons 2 reward set in the Temple of Aminishi on **July 25, 2018**, coinciding with the Shadow Reef and other high-level challenges. It complements the **main-hand Khopesh of Tumeken** and is particularly sought after due to its rarity as a high-tier off-hand niche weapon in melee setups, especially for situations requiring adaptability or hybrid damage. It drops infrequently from Elite Dungeon 2 bosses or is synthesized from components such as draconic energy and other salvageable materials. With power creep and newer updates, it has shifted from being BiS (best-in-slot) for DPS to being more of a collectible or secondary meta choice. Its rarity arises from the grind required to farm Elite Dungeon 2 efficiently, a factor still relevant today. --- ### Price Evaluation and Historical Trends: The historical price movement highlights sharp rises and falls correlated with game updates influencing gold injection into the economy or content releases altering the demand and supply balance. A snapshot analysis of the item's price trends reveals the following: 1. **Initial Boom (2018-2021):** Post-release prices ballooned in the early years due to the item’s BiS status. Scant availability and demand for max efficiency melee setups drove prices north of **500M GP by mid-2021**, peaking at **597M in August 2021.** 2. **Dupes and Gold Injection (2021-2022):** The rollback dupe of **August 2021** shifted the economy radically, introducing trillions of GP into circulation. By late 2021, the ripple effect saw weapons like the off-hand Khopesh climb to unsustainable levels. The September 2021 **Croesus** release further diverted demand toward more relevant PvM gear, initiating the fall to **~150M-200M GP.** 3. **Fresh Worlds and PvP Removal (Late 2022):** Updates like **Fresh Start Worlds** and **Wilderness PvP removal** reinvigorated the game's underlying market, contributing to price fluctuations between **140M-198M GP.** 4. **Hacks, Dupes, and Necromancy (2023):** Exploits and events like the **Scrimshaw dupe (Jan 2023)** and **Necromancy launch (August 2023)** caused significant downward pressures and instability. By **late 2023**, the off-hand's price bottomed to **89M GP**, possibly due to new gear from Necromancy overshadowing older melee setups. 5. **Recovery and Stabilization (2024):** After a low of **93M GP in April 2024**, prices rebounded slightly due to growing interest in melee post-**combat reworks (March 2024)** and **Sanctum of Rebirth release (July 2024),** which introduced gear synergies that revived melee setups like the Khopesh. Current price: **100.9M GP (October 2024).** --- ### Price Prediction (Short-Term, 6 Months): Considering historical trends, economic factors, and upcoming content speculation: 1. The **Sanctum of Rebirth update** is still fresh, and interest in melee-centric equipment should hold as PvM players optimize for melee bosses. 2. Upcoming **Mining and Smithing Reworks (Aug 2024)** could reintroduce materials like energy sinks or newly augmentable weapon tiers, marginally pushing down its value due to alternatives. 3. General GP inflation exacerbated by Treasure Hunter GP injections signifies buyers' affordability for niche items like the off-hand Khopesh will remain strong. **Estimated Price Range (Oct 2024 - Apr 2025):** - Conservative: **90M GP** (overshadowed by new releases). - Moderate: **110M GP** (natural market stability due to melee setups maintaining relevance). - Aggressive: **125M GP** (high-end activity spikes from unexpected melee buffs or events). --- ### Flipping Potential: The Khopesh's demand ebbs and flows with PvM meta shifts, allowing it to serve well as a medium-term flip item. From updated price data, a **typical flipping margin** averages **5-8M GP** between price fluctuations, specifically when melee-focused updates or economy retractions encourage heightened buying/selling activity. Key takeaways are: 1. **Buy Window:** During gold injection updates (Treasure Hunter boosts, cash rewards events like **April 2025 Easter promos**). - Buy range: **90-95M GP.** 2. **Sell Window:** Post-PvM updates or Necromancy stabilization periods with melee content popularity rising. - Sell range: **100-110M GP.** --- ### Related Items to Target: To diversify investments in similar markets: 1. **Khopesh of Tumeken (Main-Hand):** Main-hand counterparts often rise/fall in tandem, enabling similar flipping margins (6-10M GP on average). 2. **Drygore Battleaxes:** T90 off-hand melee alternatives; prices shift when T92 Khopesh gets attention. 3. **Scythe of Vitur (Necromancy Adaptations):** If your goal is longer-term melee focus, scythes may trend upward heavily as combat mechanics evolve around Necromancy. 4. **Blightbound Crossbows (Dual Wield, Range):** Analogous high-tier PvM gear that tends to mimic Khopesh trends during broad game content shifts. --- ### Seasonal Effects on Price: 1. **Positive Price Seasons:** - **Winter (Christmas through February):** Player influx during holidays and promotional updates drives overall activity and demand for high-tier gear. - **Summer (June-August):** PvM gameplay spikes due to new content (*e.g., Sanctum of Rebirth*) yield elevated pricing. 2. **Negative Price Seasons:** - **Post-Summer Surplus (September):** Items often flood post-major PvM updates; weaker demand triggers price drops. - **Spring (April-May):** Treasure Hunter GP inflation and dupes, as seen with **April 2024 events**, typically tank prices. --- ### Conclusion: The off-hand Khopesh of Elidinis is an intriguing, highly speculative item with a historically volatile trajectory influenced by large-scale game events. Investors should maintain short-term flipping strategies, buying during turbulence-induced dips (e.g., April-May), and leveraging melee-content peaks post-major reworks or updates. Diversifying into related niches offers risk mitigation, as broader melee markets evolve unpredictably under RuneScape's rapidly changing patch cycles.