### Khopesh of Tumeken Analysis #### Overview, Release & Rarity The **Khopesh of Tumeken** is a high-tier dual-wield melee weapon introduced with the *Golden Partyhat Event* in December 2021. It serves as the off-hand companion to the *Khopesh of Elidinis*. Tumeken's Khopesh stands out for its thematic association with desert lore and its aesthetic appeal, derived from the *Menaphos* storyline. Its rarity is tied to its release mechanics. Unlike traditional boss drops, Khopesh pieces were primarily obtainable via Treasure Hunter and limited-time promotions, contributing to its scarcity in the game's economy. Its exclusivity places it in the category of high-end tradeables, particularly in demand among melee-focused PvMers who seek optimal setups or collectors investing in rare items. --- #### Historical Price Trends and Context The price of the Khopesh of Tumeken has experienced significant fluctuations over time, shaped by several game-altering events and economic shifts: - **2021-2022: Early Inflation Boom** - Initial release prices soared to a peak of **476M** in August 2021, coinciding with the gold injection from the **Rollback Dupe (August-October 2021)**. - Later in 2021, the introduction of *Croesus* (September) slightly dampened demand due to the focus on hybrid weapon setups. - **2022 Stability and Wilderness Changes** - Following the Duel Arena removal (January 2022) and higher bond prices (May 2022), the market stabilized mid-year around **60M** as both gold sinks and interest in Fresh Start Worlds (September) shifted focus. - PvP Wilderness removal in October further improved PvM accessibility, making melee setups more attractive again. - **2023: Dupes and Combat Level Increase** - The **700B/hour Scrimshaw Dupe (January)** and mass account breaches led to widespread GP flooding, dropping prices to a low point of **32M** by October. - The **Necromancy Skill (August)** spiked prices back to **54M+**, as melee combat regained value in PvM metas. - **2024 Volatility** - The **Max Cash Bug Exploit (May 2024)** caused significant deflation, leading to price recovery into **69M+** by October. --- #### Price Prediction for 2024-2025 Looking forward, economic trends and upcoming updates will likely dictate Khopesh pricing: 1. **Short-Term (0-3 Months)**: - Post-**Sanctum of Rebirth (July 2024)** demand for usable endgame gear remains stable. - Expect **modest upward growth** to **75M-80M**, driven by the higher combat level cap (152), favoring dual-wield strategies. 2. **Mid-Term (3-9 Months)**: - The **fallout from economic exploits (Max Cash & GIM Bank Dupes)** will stabilize as Jagex implements GP sinks. - Anticipate prices consolidating between **65M-70M**, as the melee meta cools without significant updates. 3. **Long-Term Stability (9+ Months)**: - Barring major upheavals, this weapon is unlikely to drop below **50M**, given its rarity and PvM relevance. Minor peaks could occur with content updates but will remain under **90M** unless a related Treasure Hunter re-introduction occurs. --- #### Flipping Margins and Trading Insights Typical flipping margins for expensive items like the Khopesh are **2-5%**, translating to about **1M-3M profit per flip** in current market conditions. Fast flips rely on: - **Medium liquidity**: Avoid holding during downtime or anticipated updates. - **Monitoring leagues and promos**: Treasure Hunter re-releases can momentarily destabilize prices, creating small windows for buying low. #### Comparable Items - **Khopesh of Elidinis** (main-hand counterpart): Tends to follow similar price patterns due to demand parity. - **Drygore Off-Hand Weaponry**: A cheaper alternative that rides similar economic trends from combat re-tooling. - **Blightbound Crossbow (Off-Hand)**: A comparable high-value weapon for range builds that can act as a hedge. --- #### Seasonal Price Influences - **Positive Seasons for Growth:** - Early and late patches post-large updates (*e.g., skill expansions or combat overhauls*). - Festive seasons (*Christmas/Easter*): Higher activity and gold inflows typically boost prices. - **Negative Seasons for Decline:** - Treasure Hunter weapon re-releases (*especially in August/September with Fresh Start Worlds*). - Extended periods of economic uncertainty (*post-dupe or bug exploits*). --- The Khopesh of Tumeken remains a speculative yet stable asset, tying into RuneScape's evolving combat and economic environment. Its dual appeal for PvM and collectors ensures consistent interest but demands careful timing for investment flips to maximize returns.