### **Greater Fury Ability Codex Overview** The **Greater Fury Ability Codex** is a highly sought-after upgrade for melee-focused players in RuneScape 3. It unlocks the **Greater Fury** ability, an enhanced version of the basic Fury ability, used widely in mid-to-high tier melee combat rotations. Its improvements include faster attack animations and a higher chance of critical hits, making it a staple for DPS optimization in PvM encounters. #### **Release Date & Rarity** - **Release Date:** Introduced on **September 27, 2021**, alongside the **Croesus Front** update, as a reward from the drop table of the Croesus boss. - **Rarity:** While the codex was initially dropped by Croesus as an uncommon reward, its supply has been bottlenecked by player fatigue farming Croesus due to the unorthodox method of gathering nodes instead of directly engaging in combat. Over time, many players shifted focus to more lucrative combat bosses, making Greater Fury Codices rarer in the long-term market. --- ### **Historical Price Analysis & Current Trends** #### **Price Summary (Highlights from Data)** - **Initial Stability:** Post-release (late 2021), Greater Fury Codex lingered around **250-300M GP** due to stable supply from Croesus farming. - **Major Volatility:** Two sharp declines occurred—late 2022 (**154M minimum**) with Fresh Start Worlds (FSW) and Wilderness PvP removal, and **early 2023 (187.5M)** after the Scrimshaw duplication issue inflated the game's economy. - **Rebound Periods:** Price showed recoveries in mid-2023 with higher demand coinciding with the release of Necromancy (August 2023), reaching **255-274M GP** levels. - **Recent Decline:** The duplicate bugs, Treasure Hunter GP injection, and Max Cash exploit caused significant selling pressure. Prices sharply fell to **192M GP (Nov 2024)**. #### **Interesting Insight** The release of combat-related updates or content indirectly spikes Greater Fury Codex prices. Its demand sharply rises after any meta-shifting update (e.g., **Necromancy or Sanctum of Rebirth**) as melee users look to optimize DPS setups. Conversely, supply floods and declining liquid GP in the economy tend to drop prices significantly, as seen with Treasure Hunter GP injections. #### **Event Correlation** - **Croesus Release (Sept 2021):** Launch + sustained interest kept prices between 250-300M. - **PvP/Wilderness Removal (Oct 2022):** Reduced wealth redistribution caused market-wide price deflation. - **Scrimshaw Bug (Jan 2023):** Inflation reduced purchasing power, dipping prices to 187M levels. - **Necromancy Release (Aug 2023):** Provided upward momentum to melee items due to PvM demand, breaching 260M temporarily. - **Treasure Hunter GP Injection (Apr 2024):** Ballooned liquidity jarred the market; prices steadily declined to sub-200M territory. --- ### **Price Prediction (November 2024 Onward)** 1. **Short-Term (1-2 months):** - Given the recent GIM duplicate bug (Nov 2024), there's potential for **further downward pressure**, stabilizing around **185-190M GP** if Jagex addresses exploits. If left unchecked, liquid GP inflation could push this even lower to **170-180M GP**. 2. **Mid-Term (3-6 months):** - Post-GIM fixing, natural deflation should stabilize average prices around **200-225M GP**. If Jagex pivots focus on combat updates like QoL improvements or melee-specific content, expect a potential jump to **240-250M GP**. - Stable economic activities like Treasure Hunter Gold Sink promotions (if reintroduced) could create sustained upward momentum. 3. **Long-Term:** - Expecting prices to **rebound to 260-280M GP levels** only following significant melee updates, boss releases, or continued liquidity reductions. --- ### **Typical Flipping Margins** - Average flipping margins hover between **5-10M GP** due to the natural volatility of this high-value item. However: - During periods of high demand (e.g., meta-shifting updates), margins narrow to **2-4M GP** due to faster sales competition. - When prices are deflating (e.g., recent duplicate bug periods), margins widen to **10-15M GP** but come at a greater risk of holding losses if prices further plummet. **Key Tip:** Investors should stockpile when prices dip **below 190M** as demand historically rebounds following prolonged periods of drop-offs. --- ### **Similar Investment Options** If flipping Greater Fury isn't viable or too risky, consider diversifying with the following: 1. **Greater Barge Ability Codex**: - Another melee-focused ability codex with significant PvM reliance. Prices often correlate with Greater Fury but tend to show sharper recoveries due to its value for endgame DPS. 2. **Grasping Rune Pouches**: - Released via Croesus, these accessory items rise in value when Magic DPS strategies dominate the PvM meta. 3. **Greater Ricochet Codex**: - Signature for high-tier Ranged PvM. Usually complements melee codex investments during combat updates. --- ### **Seasonal Market Insights** 1. **Positive Seasonal Trends:** - Combat updates (e.g., new abilities, bosses): Historical examples include **Necromancy** (Aug 2023) and the Sanctum of Rebirth (Jul 2024), during which melee codices spiked. - Pre-Holiday Seasons (Nov/Dec): Cash influx during Treasure Hunter seasonal promotions boosts demand for high-value items. 2. **Negative Seasonal Trends:** - Economy-breaking updates (e.g., dupe bugs): Scrimshaw Dupe (Jan 2023) and Max Cash Exploit (May 2024) both coincided with drops in Greater Fury’s price. - Fresh Start Worlds-type resets: Historically caused deflation across high-end PvM items as new accounts flood the game. --- ### **Action Plan** To capitalize on Greater Fury Codex trends: 1. **Buy-In Target:** Accumulate when prices approach or dip below **190M GP**. 2. **Sell Target:** Flip when prices rebound to **240-260M GP** during meta-related events or combat patch releases. 3. **Season Watch:** Invest around mid-year (June-August) to capture combat update hype and exit before liquidity expansion seasons. By following historical market behaviors and Jagex’s update cycle, **Greater Fury Codex is a solid mid-to-long-term flip** alongside related combat ability codices.