### Summary of Cinderbane Gloves Cinderbane Gloves are a hybrid glove piece used primarily in combat, offering a unique passive effect that applies poison damage when using any poison-eligible abilities or weapons. They are especially valued by players using poison-enhancement builds and are BiS (best-in-slot) for encounters where poison mechanics are optimal. The item was released on **September 27, 2021**, alongside the **Croesus boss** update as a rare drop from its rewards table. The rarity stems from drops being shared with other rare coveted loot from Croesus, thus making the gloves moderately difficult to acquire. --- ### Historical Price Insights and Trends The price history of Cinderbane Gloves shows alternating periods of stability and volatility, with notable trends tied to economic and game updates. Major price spikes occurred in January 2022 (~104M GP) and January 2023 (~100M GP), likely driven by supply limitations and meta shifts in combat. Conversely, strong downward pressure occurred following massive GP introduction events (e.g., early 2023 Scrimshaw dupe). The gloves' gradual depreciation over 2024 reflects an increase in GP injection (e.g., Treasure Hunter rewards and the Max Cash exploit) coupled with broader economic destabilization. Key correlations include: - **September 2021 (release)**: Price started relatively high (~100M GP) upon release with demand from the release of Croesus. - **2022 Dupe/Economic Events**: The rollback dupe (01/11/2022) injected significant GP into the economy. Although some items inflated as a result, mid-tier combat items experienced steadier declines due to oversaturation of resources in PVM gear entering the market. - **August 2023**: The Necromancy combat style update temporarily enhanced price (~88M) as players explored best-in-slot glove combinations, aligning with new poison-based setups. Most notably, the gloves have declined in late 2024, seeing significant slippage to ~64M as of **December 2024**, exacerbated by: - **Cheap GP flooding**: Exploits like the April 2024 dupes and the Max Cash update displaced item values across the board. - **Shift to newer gear**: The **Sanctum of Rebirth** provided alternative drops, shifting demand toward newer BiS gear. --- ### Price Prediction (Short-Term: Jan–June 2025) Given historical price movements and current market stagnation, the price outlook for Cinderbane Gloves heavily depends on how Jagex manages future GP sinks and meta-defining updates. My projection: 1. **Stability Phase (Q1 2025)**: Prices likely stabilize between **60M–70M** unless there is a significant meta shakeup, such as poison mechanics buffs or new content requiring hybrid setups. 2. **Potential Spike (Q2 2025)**: A combat rework or next-generation boss drop table expansion may rekindle interest. Slight upward pressure could lead to highs of **75M–80M**, assuming no major GP floods occur. 3. **Bear Scenarios**: Prices could dip further to **50M–55M** if the GP surplus persists with minimal item sink updates. Historical data suggests Cinderbane Gloves will remain a volatile investment susceptible to spikes whenever a combat change favoring poison builds occurs. --- ### Typical Flipping Margins Cinderbane Gloves have established a lucrative niche in merchanting due to relatively predictable demand. Flipping opportunities exist in the upper-mid price tiers as demand fluctuates: - **Average Margin**: 1M–1.5M GP on lower supply days. Margins tighten on higher supply end (e.g., around 500K–1M GP). The key lies in exploiting seasonal demand variances. - **Optimal Timing**: Active flipping often sees the best margins before or after major updates that affect combat mechanics or poison builds (e.g., balance patches or Treasure Hunter events unloading gloves). - **Strategy**: When prices bottom out (below 65M), purchasing at ~63M and reselling at ~67-68M ensures relatively quick movement. However, flipping is best done during high player activity seasons (e.g., summer and holiday periods). --- ### Similar Investment Alternatives Cinderbane Gloves are most valuable as a poison meta item. Similar gear setups, which provide strong hybrid utility or cater to niche metas, may follow correlated pricing patterns: 1. **Grasping Rune Pouch**: A utility PvM item with historical fluctuations based on meta competitiveness. It is also affected by updates altering rune-heavy spell usage. 2. **Hydrix Gearpieces**: Items like the Essence of Finality amulet tend to gain value during combat rework periods. Investing during lows can parallel Cinderbane trends. 3. **Greater Ricochet Codex (or similar abilities)**: These augment poison builds and may see increased usage if poison-based mechanics receive buffs. --- ### Seasonal Effects and Advice Price patterns of Cinderbane Gloves are heavily seasonal: - **Positive Periods**: - **Post-game content updates** (e.g., new bosses, expansions, or combat/puzzle-heavy RS3 content), which often push meta adjustments. - **Summer Months (June–August)**: Player engagement rises significantly, boosting demand for PvM gear used in bossing/skill grinds. - **Negative Periods**: - **January–March (Q1)**: Economic uncertainty and cash flooding events in early Q1 (e.g., prior dupes or Jagex GP incentives) often depress prices. - **Post-event lulls**: If GP sinks are not introduced following a major update, oversupply increases downward pressure. ### Final Notes Cinderbane Gloves are influenced by both macroeconomic RuneScape trends and poison-based meta relevance. Collectors and merchants should track patch days for immediate flipping opportunities, while long-term investors should stay vigilant for GP injection trends. **Diversification** into related items can also protect against drastic downward spirals in market-specific updates.