### **Summary of the Item: Scripture of Jas** The **Scripture of Jas** is a tier 85 pocket slot item introduced with the release of the Croesus Front of the Elder God Wars Dungeon on **September 27, 2021**. It contains the **Fleeting Expertise passive effect**, which creates "Echoes of Jas" — spectral projections that deal typeless damage every 5 seconds, scaling with the player's style bonus. This makes it highly effective in long, sustained fights where its passive delivers consistent, bonus damage without costing adrenaline, making it especially useful in encounters with bosses like Araxxi, Raksha, and elite dungeons. Beyond PvM, its relatively low cost compared to other pocket items has made it an attractive mid-tier upgrade for budget-conscious players seeking efficiency. The Scripture's rarity is moderate. It drops from **Croesus**, RuneScape’s first skilling boss, which ensures a steady influx of the item due to Croesus being highly accessible to a wide range of players. However, Croesus drops have been noticeably tied to player numbers and community interest — spikes in activity (due to related Treasure Hunter promotions or bossing-related player integrations) lead to increased supply and price volatility. --- ### **Historical Price Analysis and Rarity** When released, the Scripture of Jas traded at **100M GP** due to its novelty and high demand among PvMers experimenting with Croesus rewards. Prices spiked significantly due to: 1. **September-December 2021 gold injections** from dupes and exploits, artificially inflating most high-tier items. 2. **Croesus boss release popularity**, causing the Scripture to become a notable "quick reward" sought by newly interested skilling boss enthusiasts. 3. The **Elder God Wars Dungeon content hype**, which brought in a higher-than-average player base engaging with Croesus and utilizing its unique rewards. However, the Scripture quickly experienced downward corrections post-2022 as the gold economy stabilized (following dupe-related cleanups) and alternative items like **Greater Concentrated Blast**-boosted builds, Necromancy synergies, and other pocket items gained popularity within the meta. The **bond price increases in May 2022** and the **removal of the Duel Arena in January 2022** further devalued spending power, compounding price drops and placing the Scripture in more accessible price ranges. By 2024, the Scripture has hovered between **10M-20M GP**, fluctuating based on market trends and re-investments prompted by balance patches. --- ### **Historical Price Movements** 1. **December 2021 - January 2022 Spike (70-100M GP):** Gold influxes (rollback and recovery dupes introduced GP inflation), with players overvaluing skilling boss drops as PvMers explored Croesus’s economic viability. Prices then normalized as high supply dampened novelty. 2. **Mid-2022 Drop (~7-16M GP):** Stabilization after the Wilderness PvP removal (10/17/2022) and **Fresh Start Worlds** splintering economic activity, driving prices down due to oversupply. 3. **Late 2023 Surge (152M GP, September 2023):** The **Necromancy skill release (August 2023)** caused widespread meta rebalancing. Positive synergy with extended encounter lengths caused demand for Scriptures (including Jas). 4. **Post-Hero Pass Backlash (November 2023):** The Hero Pass caused resource instability in PvM-related content, further dropping cash influx — resulting in a mild recovery for cost-efficient PvM items like the Scripture as meta players returned to reliable Croesus farming. 5. **Early-Mid 2024 Collapse (~10-20M GP):** Introduction of the **March 2024 Combat Update** caused a major shift in best-in-slot items, and dupes tied to max-cash exploits (05/2024) caused increased GP-buying in the marketplace. The **Sanctum of Rebirth release** (07/2024) further reduced Scripture demand due to new pocket-slot alternatives. --- ### **Price Prediction for the Next Few Months** Considering historical trends, some critical factors for 2024-2025: - **Supply Projections:** Croesus remains a popular skilling boss, easily farmed for its Scripture drops. Seasonal event-driven turnout boosts may bring spikes in supply during Treasure Hunter weekends or PvM rebalancing developments. - **Treasure Hunter GP Influx (04/2024):** Jagex’s GP injections into Treasure Hunter reward pools significantly devalued GP temporarily, cementing Scriptures under **20M GP**. Similar short-term crises make 2024 a "buyer's market." - **Combat Meta Stability:** Continued balancing likely prevents Scriptures from regaining >50M, but Necromancy hybrids remain niche users, driving mild floor-based purchases. **Projection (2024-2025):** - **Short-term price (Oct-Dec 2024):** 6-12M GP baseline. - **Mid-term price fluctuations (Q1 2025):** 12-18M GP during major updates or Treasure Hunter changes. --- ### **Flipping Margins for Profit** Given current market dynamics, the Scripture of Jas presents moderate flipping potential within a high-volume margin. Current trade activity centers around high discount buys during Treasure Hunter GP inflationary phases or key patches. - **Buy Target:** ~6M GP (undervalued) during low demand or GP surplus scenarios. - **Sell Target:** ~12-15M GP during rebalancing/combat update announcements. - **Average Margin:** ~5-6M GP per flip during Treasure Hunter reward-driven price variances. --- ### **Similar Items for Investment** If leveraging the Scripture of Jas’s price trend sectors, consider other low-cost skilling boss or PvM-adapted pocket items. Recommendations: 1. **Scripture of Wen:** Similar pricing (~6-15M GP) with comparable passive DPS boosts used in alternative situations. 2. **Scripture of Ful:** Stronger DPS scaling than Jas, aligned to high-level bossing after an environment nerf. 3. **Scrimshaw of Sacrifice (skrims):** Reverse trends against boss-killers but cycle strong during Necromancy retooling phases. Additionally, **Elder God Wars Dungeon** materials (e.g., **Croesus Spore rewards**) may follow parallel trends due to their interchangeable dependability for skillers/PvMers. --- ### **Seasonal Price Outcomes** Historically, item prices respond to RuneScape-specific seasonal patterns: - **Positive price drivers (Seasonality):** - **Q1-Q2:** Post-winter expansion hype, often with PvM-heavy updates. - **Treasure Hunter rewards:** After GP injections create market turbulence. - **Summer Patch Buffs (July):** Mid-year PvM patches restore item demand. - **Negative price drivers:** - **Q4:** Fresh Start-like XP or gearing incentives diminish profitability. - **Crash-heavy exploits:** Max cash patches skew near-term pricing floors.