### **Item Overview: Seren Godbow**
The Seren Godbow is a tier-92 two-handed ranged weapon introduced on **March 16, 2017**, as a potential reward from Telos, the Warden. Functionally, it stands out for its signature effect: 1/15 attacks fire a guaranteed hit, bypassing accuracy checks and dealing 10%-70% of the target's current health. This effect excels against high-health bosses. It is widely regarded as a premier ranged weapon for both PvM and PvP.
It shares design roots with other high-tier godbows like the Eldritch Crossbow and SGB (Seismic). Despite its longevity in RuneScape 3's evolving meta, it remains in demand due to its niche capability of enormous damage spikes and desirable utility against tanky bosses.
### **Rarity and Trade Dynamics**
The Seren Godbow’s rarity stems from its drop mechanics. A Telos kill must yield **a minimum of 500 enrage** with a Luck of the Angels or Luck of the Dwarves boost to improve drop odds. Its semi-rare nature and reliance on Telos kills make it unique, as Telos remains a somewhat niche boss with high entry demands compared to more accessible bosses like Raksha or Croesus.
The bow's value has fluctuated significantly due to general market trends, gold inflation, and Treasure Hunter updates.
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### **Price History and Insights**
The Seren Godbow has demonstrated wide price variability over time. Examining the provided data and historical correlating events:
1. **2021-2022 Price Dynamics**
- Prices stabilized between **1.5B - 2.3B** based on activity spikes and updates like the Wilderness PvP removal (October 2022). Events like Croesus (September 2021) also fostered demand for high-tier gear, increasing the price of the SGB.
- **Gold injection events** (e.g., dupes on 11/2021 and Fresh Start Worlds in 2022) caused market-wide spikes in item demand, especially for "liquid" wealth storages like Seren Godbows.
2. **2023-2024 Sell-Off and Volatility**
- The introduction of **Necromancy (August 2023)** caused a reduction in Seren Godbow’s price due to players liquidating ranged gear for Necromancy setups. This event reduced SGB prices to **~1.3B from 1.8B+**.
- The **Hero Pass backlash (September 2023)** further destabilized markets, particularly for high-tier PvM gear as the community reeled from systemic critics of Jagex's monetization changes. Prices dipped below **1.2B-1.3B**.
- In Q1-Q2 2024, the RuneScape **combat update (March 2024)** briefly stimulated demand for Seren Godbows as range DPS optimization returned. However, subsequent dupes in April and the **Max Cash update exploit (May 2024)** dumped trillions into the economy, eventually leading to the bow hitting a historic low of **~978M in December 2024**.
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### **Price Prediction: Near-Term Analysis (2025)**
#### **Key Influences on Future Prices:**
1. **Gold Inflation and Treasure Hunter**
Jagex’s aggressive GP injection strategies (e.g., Treasure Hunter GP prizes introduced on April 2024) have devalued fixed-market items. Expect more gold inflation throughout 2025 unless specific gold sinks are introduced.
2. **Player Interest in Telos Farming**
With no fresh rewards in Telos' loot table, farming Godbows struggles against lucrative rewards from updated bosses (e.g., Sanctum of Rebirth). This also reduces new supply.
3. **Demand via Combat Angular Changes**
Range remains a dominant PvM class, and there’s always a baseline demand for high-tier DPS gear like Seren Godbow. However, Ranged competition with Necromancy is unlikely to cool due to Necro’s versatile AoE capabilities.
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#### **Price Forecast (Jan-July 2025):**
- **Baseline Median Price:** 1.2B-1.5B
- **Potential Upside:** If ties between SGB and Telos resurgence/ranged bosses return. Surges beyond 1.6B+ are plausible but short-lived unless paired with relevant bossing updates.
- **Potential Downside:** Jagex introduces significant PvM DPS/weapon Power-tier interrupt slots dropping juicy Range weaker god calculated sometht collapse. Finally `< insight **OptimizeFlips OR Pure strategist
Ely Intelligence Analysis