### **Pot of Gold Token Overview** The Pot of Gold Token is a holiday-themed cosmetic currency key token, often associated with the March St. Patrick’s Day season or Treasure Hunter promotions. Released between January 2021 and March 2021, it serves as both a collectible and a tradeable reward token. Visually, the Pot of Gold Token is imbued with Irish folklore charm and is primarily sought after during cosmetic-driven events or by token collectors. While not functionally significant like bonds or skilling rewards, its aesthetic value grants it trading power among RuneScape’s economy-savvy player base. #### **Dates and Rarity** - **Release:** Late January 2021, during a seasonal Treasure Hunter promo. - **Rarity:** Semi-rare, primarily determined by supply from Treasure Hunter events. Subsequent re-releases during spring holiday seasons or promotions tied to St. Patrick's Day have occasionally increased supply. - **Legacy Worth:** Initial prices in 2021 ranged from 300k to 497k GP but were affected by game economy fluctuations, leading to steep price drops starting from April 2022. Its rarity classification is somewhat mid-tier compared to truly rare Treasure Hunter exclusives like Halo dyes or oddments rares tied to limited-edition franchises. --- ### **Price Data Analysis and Correlation with Events** #### **Historical Trends** Analyzing the provided price data, steep drops and erratic decreases are linked to significant duplication and wealth events in RuneScape’s economy. For instance: 1. **January 2021 Dupes**: Price spikes in mid-January show the token approaching 497,000 GP due to demand combined with an artificially inflated economy. The market correction post-dupe likely explains the decline into the 300k range by March-April 2021. 2. **Fresh Start Worlds (Sept. 2022)**: The promotion of Fresh Start Worlds created heightened interest in tradeable rarity-driven items, resulting in modest peaks (287,999 GP around October 10, for instance). 3. **March 2023 Mass Player Hacks**: Sudden reappearance of hacked accounts dumping rares coincides with the crash to 94,708 GP post-hacks (~April 2023). 4. **Easter 2024 Duplicates**: A bottoming-out to 6,000 GP shortly after April 1, 2024, due to excessive supply from Gummy rewards and St. Patrick’s promo rewards creates the most significant recent market dilution. --- #### **Potential Undocumented Factors** The token's behavior also reflects speculative holding patterns where players anticipate trendline spikes during promotional re-releases. Omni-factoring cosmetics and Treasure Hunter buyouts correlate with speculative markets surging for cosmetic-only or collectible currencies like this. --- ### **Future Price Prediction** #### **Short-term (3-6 months)** Given no immediate Treasure Hunter re-release announcements and a stabilized currency following the black partyhat injection surge, the Pot of Gold Token has lingering supply saturation from dupes. However, demand will tick upward as collectors aim to rebuild cosmetic banks during the 2024 holiday seasons. - **May–July 2024:** Modest recovery, stabilized between **10,000–35,000 GP.** - **August–September 2024:** Slight speculative buildup pre-St Patrick's re-release window; marginal growth upwards of **50,000 GP.** - **Late 2024 Seasonal Ramp-up:** December seasonal items re-strengthen collector’s niche; possible peak to 100,000–150,000 GP under no dupes. #### **Long-term** Cosmetic tokens like this often follow highly irregular logarithmic peaks once original "dumped stock" fully reabsorbs. Speculative holds can justify an eventual **return to 200,000+ GP by early 2025** if new re-releases remain cosmetic-only while player GP pools also stabilize. --- ### **Flipping Margins** Cosmetic items feature small yet gradual re-trading patterns when not freshly devalued. Current conditions with high Token supply volatility suggest flipping between **10–20% margins per unit** in low-price threshold markets (i.e., core ranges of **15,000–25,000 GP buy-ins**). - **Pro Tip:** Bulk-flipping at long-term optimistic behaviors creates better exit-band arbitrage differences. --- ### **Similar Items to Buy** #### **Token Alternatives to Hold or Flip:** 1. **Leprechaun Hat Token (St. Patrick’s Parallel):** Slightly rarer, longer shelf-life exclusivity events align with player nostalgic activity. 2. **Party Hat Add-ons:** Intermediate Valentines Day re-skins doubles prices irregularly-core streaklining. .