### **Clover Sword Token Analysis** #### **Summary** The Clover Sword Token is an uncommon Treasure Hunter cosmetic token released on **January 13, 2021**, as part of a Luck-themed promotion. When redeemed, it unlocks the Clover Sword override, a decorative one-handed weapon styled after a lucky four-leaf clover. While aesthetically appealing, it holds no combat value. This token’s rarity stems less from its inherent scarcity and more from its infrequent reintroductions in Treasure Hunter events, making it sensitive to supply-demand imbalances. #### **Release Date** - First introduced: **January 13, 2021** during the "Charmed by Luck" promotion. - Subsequent reappearances in mid-tier Treasure Hunter events from **2021–2023**, albeit minimally. #### **Rarity** Generally considered semi-rare. Given its visual appeal and limited re-releases, many collectors and fashion-scape enthusiasts seek it. However, it lacks the prestige of ultra-premium cosmetics, such as discontinued rares or high-tier holiday items. --- ### **Historical Price Analysis** **Price History Fluctuations (Major Trends):** 1. **January 2021 (~1,000,000 GP):** Released at a high premium during its debut due to its exclusivity. However, prices quickly normalized as more tokens entered the game. 2. **February – May 2021 (~400,000 GP − ~240,000 GP):** Price dropped drastically post-event supply influx and the January 2021 rollback dupe, which flooded the market with cash and cosmetics. 3. **Mid 2021 to August 2021 (~520,000 GP):** Recovery amidst lower availability and increasing popularity of RuneScape cosmetic trendiness. 4. **Early 2022 (~694,670 GP):** Duel Arena removal (January 2022) stabilized prices after discouraging speculative flipping. 5. **Post-2022 (~630,000 GP+):** Gradual climb due to fewer active promotions of the token and increased focus on collectible items for fashion-scape. #### **Key Events Impacting Value** - **January 2021 Rollback Dupe:** Rapid price destabilization; vast gold introduction suppressed high-tier cosmetic demand. - **Duel Arena Removal (January 2022):** Eliminated high-stakes gambling, leading to healthier item demand as GP was redistributed across the market. - **Fresh Start Worlds (September 2022):** A temporary spike for fashion-scape items like the Clover Sword as aesthete players joined unique accounts designed for collection-based achievements. - **Hero Pass (September 2023):** Community discontent decreased participation in Treasure Hunter promotions, boosting niche collectible item prices. - **Red Portal Lures (2023/2024):** Partyhat pulling focused wealth prioritization toward ultra-rares, which indirectly weakened demand for mid-tier vanity items around these instances. --- ### **Price Prediction (Next Few Months)** **Q4 2024 to Q2 2025 Outlook:** - **Short-Term Stabilization (~750,000–850,000 GP):** Continued price growth from fewer Treasure Hunter re-releases and heightened collector activity after Jagex’s pivot toward monetizing core GP sinks and maintaining scarcity. - **Upside Potential (~1,000,000 GP+):** Historical highs could be tested by limited-time cash injections into Treasure Hunter (**Early 2025**) or renewed interest post max-cash exploits. - **Risks:** A Treasure Hunter event reintroduction of the Clover Sword Token could drop prices to **~350,000–400,000 GP** temporarily if heavy supply resumes. --- ### **Flipping Potential** **Margins:** - **Typical Range:** ~10–14% profit margin depending on timing (buy low post-holiday or event-end; sell high during demand hikes or Treasure Hunter downtime). - **Strategies:** - Buy during re-releases or periods of low use (e.g., right after major GP influx events like Max Cash exploits). - Sell during peak activity when style-focused players return (event-driven months like **September (Fresh Start)** or **April (Easter)**). --- ### **Related Investments** #### **Complementary Items to Flip/Invest:** 1. **Dapper Bow Tie Token:** - Similar semi-rare cosmetic from Treasure Hunter’s classy promotion. - Follow a similar seasonal flipping strategy with trades typically ranging **300,000–600,000 GP**. 2. **Rainbow Amulet Token:** - A higher appeal fashion-scape item with strong growth potential due to persistent demand. 3. **Blade Tokens (Dragon Wolf Blade/Venomous Blade):** - A mix of collectable and combat-themed vanity overrides. - Often undervalued post-Treasure Hunter events but appreciate long-term as they fit combat aesthetics. #### **Larger Seasonal Patterns:** - **Positive Price Trends:** - **January – February:** Post-holiday collector-driven boosts. - **April – May:** Demand for unique overrides increases with Easter and spring-related content. - **September (Q4 Start):** Account resets/Fresh Start World events. - **Negative Price Trends:** - **June – August:** Summer promotions often include token re-releases, boosting supply significantly. - **Post-Dupe/Exploit Events:** Temporary market saturation reduces speculative interest in secondary markets. --- ### **Final Recommendations** If you are seeking short-term profits, focus on **buying during a Treasure Hunter re-release** or large gold influx events and **selling when collector sentiment is high** during Treasure Hunter downtime periods. For mid-term gains, **diversifying into similar semi-rare Treasure Hunter cosmetic tokens** like the Rainbow Amulet or Dapper Bow Tie Token alongside the Clover Sword Token ensures resilience against single-token volatility. Strategic trading around major updates (e.g., holiday or system patches) will maximize profit margins effectively.