### **Sameowrai's Faulds Token: Overview** **Summary & Release Date**: The Sameowrai's Faulds Token is an item from RuneScape 3 that unlocks a cosmetic override in the style of the Sameowrai armor set, a cat-themed samurai design. It was primarily introduced via Treasure Hunter promotions. Its original release date was not explicitly defined, but it aligns with the theme-driven rotations in Treasure Hunter (most likely circa 2021). As a token, its utility exclusively pertains to cosmetics, meaning demand is largely fueled by fashion-scape enthusiasts and rarity collectors. **Rarity**: Its rarity stems from being part of a theme that saw limited promotion windows, making it difficult to obtain outside direct trades. Subsequent Treasure Hunter re-releases increased its availability slightly, but its past release schedule has been inconsistent, driving speculative market behaviors. --- ### **Price Analysis and Trends** **Historical Price Data**: The price history reveals a volatile trend, with significant peaks and troughs indicative of external market forces. Highlights from provided data: - **Early Peaks (2021-01)**: Prices hovered around 25M-29M GP, correlating with its perceived exclusivity and demand upon initial release. - **Drop in 2022 (2022-07 to 2022-01)**: The token fell to a low of 2M-5M GP after the Duel Arena's removal in January 2022. This reflects typical market contractions following major gold sinks or reduced economic liquidity. - **Recovery and Speculation (2022-11)**: After the Fresh Start Worlds release (09/2022), the price rose drastically to 30M GP. Fresh-start dynamics often drive experienced players back to the main game looking for speculative investments, sparking short-term price bubbles. - **Correction in 2023 (2023-04)**: An over-saturation led to stability between 19.5M to 19.56M GP by mid-2023. Continued Treasure Hunter promotions, paired with Necromancy hype diverting resources into skill investments, likely stifled further growth. **Key Updates Linked to Movements**: - **Gold Dupes (e.g., 2021 Rollback, 2023 Scrimshaw)**: Sudden gold influxes from dupes tend to inflate rare cosmetics due to an oversupply of currency, artificially inflating demand. The January 2021 rollback dupe aligns with Faulds spiking. - **Promotion Re-releases**: Treasure Hunter events often inject tokens back into circulation, crashing their short-term value but leading to gradual recovery as speculators buy in. - **Necromancy and Hero Pass (2023)**: Max-level rebalancing and controversies shifted economic focus, reducing Faulds's appeal as part of non-essential spending. --- ### **Price Prediction (Next Few Months)** Based on historical trends and current market sentiment: 1. **Short-term Risk (0-3 Months)**: - If Treasure Hunter events reintroduce similar tokens or gold enters the economy (e.g., May 2024 "Max Cash exploit"), expect a dip to 12M-14M GP. - Minimal demand recovery will occur until early summer when fresh PvM content (Sanctum of Rebirth) resets player wealth cycles. 2. **Mid-term Growth (3-6 Months)**: - Long-term speculators may target a 20M-24M GP price recovery, contingent on no further token re-releases and stabilization following the Mining/Smithing rework. - The next major spike could result from RuneScape’s annual anniversary or new Treasure Hunter scarcity campaigns. 3. **Speculative Optimism**: - If Vault-themed collectibles trend upward again, the token could see 30M GP, but this remains a best-case scenario dependent on no increases in supply. --- ### **Flipping Margins** **Typical Margins**: - Given its historical volatility, the token's **buy-sell margins average 5%-10% per trade** under stable markets. At a 20M GP price baseline, this means 1M-2M profit per flip. Liquidity is moderately good, as interest peaks during fashion-scape-centric updates or bank sales by hoarders. - During significant dips (e.g., post-duplication scares or oversaturation), margins can spike up to **15%-25%** due to panicked lowball selling. **Strategy Tips**: - Buy during Treasure Hunter re-releases (price crash phase). Resell approximately 2-3 weeks after the event ends for mid-term recovery. - Avoid flipping tokens during severe game disruptions (e.g., gold exploits), where fluctuations are unpredictable. --- ### **Parallel Investments** For diversification, consider investing in similarly undervalued or thematically aligned items. **Recommendations**: 1. **Sakura Golem Token** – Another seasonal cosmetic token with similar spikes during scarcity phases. 2. **Desert Pantheon Aura (Token)** – Also commonly traded among niche collectors. 3. **Animal-themed overrides (e.g., Dire Wolf, Hellcat)** – Fashion-scape styles tend to perform well across Treasure Hunter scarcity cycles. 4. **Price Tied to PvP & Boss Rotations**: Death Lotus and Tetsu overrides mirror the Faulds's demographic appeal. **Market Seasons**: - **Positive Price Trends**: - Results from content droughts when players focus on cosmetics over PvM. - Natural growth tied to the tail-end of events like Sanctum of Rebirth. - Holiday celebrations (Christmas/Easter) incentivize speculative hold strategies. - **Negative Price Trends**: - Mid-year updates or skilling reworks that indirectly drain cosmetic markets (e.g., Mining/Smithing, Necromancy). - January-May crashes fueled by Treasure Hunter promotions and cash exploits. --- ### **Conclusion** The Sameowrai's Faulds Token is a mid-tier speculative item with solid flipping margins and potential for substantial price growth if rarity is maintained. Buy during Treasure Hunter re-releases and low liquidity phases, hold through PvM expansions, and use the market calendar to spot cycles for better returns. Parallel investment in similar fashion-scape tokens will amplify profitability while mitigating risks.