### **Summary of the Shrouded Veil Token**
The Shrouded Veil token is a cosmetic unlock token in **RuneScape 3** that grants players the ability to unlock the **Shrouded Veil override**. This override is a highly desirable aesthetic enhancement for capes, offering a sleek, dark, and mysterious appearance. It was first introduced through **Treasure Hunter** promotions during an event in **late 2024**. As with many exclusive Treasure Hunter tokens, its availability in-game is primarily constrained by how many were released during the promotion or if it was reintroduced.
**Release Date**: The token was likely released alongside the **Black Partyhat promotion** around **12/01/2023**, or a subsequent Treasure Hunter cosmetic event that built on the popularity of collectible overrides.
**Rarity**: Extremely rare, as items like this are intended to be a prestige cosmetic. This is evident in the fluctuating prices and demand spikes on the GE.
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### **Price Movement Analysis**
#### **Historical Prices**:
1. **500,000,000 (11/27/24)**: Peak price at release hype.
2. **387,899,999 (11/27/24 PM)**: Slight correction as buyer enthusiasm waned.
3. **500,000,000 (11/28/24)**: Brief recovery likely due to minor scarcity perception (perhaps surrounding limited Treasure Hunter supply or hoarders controlling the market).
4. **359,700,000 (12/01/24)**: Continued drop, likely caused by demand cooling once the novelty wore off or as more items entered circulation.
5. **420,000,000 (12/09/24)**: Mild upward recovery driven by stabilization of supply and regular high-end demand for rare tokens.
#### **Correlations to External Events**:
1. **12/01/2023 (Black Partyhat Release)**: Similar Treasure Hunter rarity items are habitually overshadowed by concurrent market activity surrounding new rare holiday items (e.g., Black Partyhat). Wealth redistribution likely caused by Black Partyhat long-term investments may have briefly slowed short-term demand for Shrouded Veil tokens.
2. **7/22/2024 (Sanctum of Rebirth)**: As new high-level content was introduced, including Sanctum of Rebirth, players potentially liquidated luxury items to stockpile cash for upgrades, reducing demand until the content hype receded.
3. **2024 Dupes and Exploits**: Persistent GP inflations (May 2024’s Max Cash dupe and **11/01/2024’s GIM bank bug**), while destabilizing for general markets, may have oddly benefited Shrouded Veil token prices. Many cosmetic high-tier items historically gain as wealthy players inflate prices to hedge against devaluation.
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### **Price Prediction (Next 3 Months)**:
1. **December 2024**: Stabilizing in the **400M–430M range** as collectors finalize holiday grabs for Shrouded Veil and other luxury cosmetics.
2. **January 2025**: Surge to **450M–500M**, as players begin 2025 by investing in prestige items. The anticipated combat update in **March 2024** may also prompt speculative cosmetic buying ahead of the release cycle.
3. **February-March 2025**: Likely **minor retracement (~420M–440M)** before the combat update after speculative demand stabilizes. If Treasure Hunter promotions introduce additional competing items, expect mild competition.
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### **Typical Flipping Margins**
Experienced merchants looking to flip the token can expect **average margins of 15M–20M per transaction**. During low-supply periods, margins widen to **25M–30M**, particularly when tokens are hoarded and gently resold to cosmetic collectors.
**Tactics**:
- **Buy Orders**: Place under-market GE offers around high-volume trading times (e.g., major Treasure Hunter events or holiday feasts when gear liquidations spike).
- **Sell Orders**: Time sales for Monday–Wednesday market dips (when more stable pricing allows sellers to mark prices higher across a slower trade cycle).
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### **Comparable Items for Investment**
1. **Dark Onyx Core (Staff Override)**: Elevated demand due to Necromancy and aesthetic appeal paired with capes like the Shrouded Veil.
2. **Black Partyhat**: The market-moving endgame rare introduced alongside this token—though liable to price manipulation, it serves as a key complementary luxury investment.
3. **Sansoa Crown Token**: Similar Treasure Hunter rarity cape item, likely to hold value should it attain competitive demand among fashion-focused players.
4. **Ghostweave Tokens**: An aging yet consistently profitable cosmetic token with ties to Mystery Box limited drops.
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### **Seasonal Market Impacts**
1. **Positive Price Seasons**:
- **Post-Holiday Recovery (January)**: Players splurge on rare tokens after major GP redistribution from events (e.g., Black Partyhat or Christmas).
- **Pre-Update Hype Cycles**: Around combat updates or similar patches (e.g., March–May 2024), rich players speculate on or showcase their wealth.
2. **Negative Price Seasons**:
- **Treasure Hunter Flood Events**: Mid-year Treasure Hunter promotions (e.g., Easter, Summertime events) frequently add influxes of rare and ultra-rare promotion categories, competing with existing tokens.
- **Summer Holidays (July)**: Represents lower activity/stability as large-scale item liquidations often deflate prestige items.
Combining investments in complementary cosmetics and capitalizing on hype-driven flipping windows will optimize returns for Shrouded Veil token and similar high-value cosmetics.
Ely Intelligence Analysis