### Summary of Warped Death Skulls and Market Context The **Warped Death Skulls Ability Scroll** is a high-tier cosmetic unlock in RuneScape 3 that enhances the *Wrack* combat ability with a skull-animation cosmetic effect. This item was introduced via Treasure Hunter during a Halloween promotion and has since gained a position as a rare and sought-after scroll. Its popularity stems from both its exclusivity and its appeal to Necromancy fans, given its synergy with darker, undead-styled themes. The scroll’s rarity is moderate. While still obtainable during specific Treasure Hunter events, its availability is sporadic, leading to price spikes during off-release periods or when Necromancy-themed content is newly introduced (such as the Max Combat update in August 2023). ### Price Trends and Influences Here’s the price movement, along with potential explanations for historical trends: - **Mid-October Swings (153M → 315M):** The abrupt undercutting (155M–179M mid-October 2024) likely resulted from supply flooding (Treasure Hunter rerun or manipulated drop rates). This caused price suppression before a rapid rebound to highs approaching 325M by November 4, 2024. - **Late Drops in November (325M → 275M):** The dip aligns with cash hoarding for end-of-year Treasure Hunter promotions (Black Partyhat event proximity), where items unrelated to rares often experience soft dumping. - **Final December Plateau (305M):** Stabilization suggests post-event market recovery and buyers returning to speculative flipping. Based on this data and historical RuneScape events, this scroll’s price has been reactive to major game events, particularly Necromancy updates **(August Necromancy Combat release)** and Treasure Hunter-driven market cycles **(Halloween Promotions, Black Partyhat release).** --- ### Price Prediction for the Coming Months (Analysis for 2025 Q1) 1. **January–February 2025:** January traditionally causes low activity in player buying (post-holiday GP liquidity issues). Prices may dip moderately to **270M–290M** before Dragonkin Lab-style Slayer content or Necromancy-focused updates drive new demand. - Plus, Treasure Hunter drops for other promotional cosmetics may compete for short-term attention. 2. **March 2025 (Combat/Adventure Updates):** Spring updates often correlate with player-return surges, potentially driving **Warped Death Skulls** up to **340M–360M**, particularly if Necromancy content gets further polish or rebalancing (as hinted in Dev Blogs). 3. **Long-term (Q2 2025):** Jagex’s long-term behavior shows frequent soft re-releases of high-demand Treasure Hunter cosmetics. Expect prices to **fall to 250M–280M** post-re-release in Summer events unless additional animation bundles cannibalize the buying pool. --- ### Flipping Margins and Predictions In its current price-band of **275M–305M**, flipping Warped Death Skulls offers a respectable **5–10% margin (13–25M per transaction)** for high-volume traders using well-timed buy/sell listings. Margins are strongest **after re-release events**, as recovery spikes tend to occur within 24-72 hours of mass undercutting. Specific flipping strategies: - **Buy Zones:** October 2024 demonstrated buyer-friendly price floors as low as 153M after perceived supply glut. These conditions can repeat if Treasure Hunter events reintroduce Warped Death Skulls in future holiday cycles. - **Sell Zones:** July–September typically sees high inflation due to summer updates bringing increased activity from returning players (e.g., Necromancy’s Max Combat event, August 2023). End-of-summer flipping is historically lucrative. --- ### Comparable Items to Consider - **Plague Justice Pack Items:** Similar thematic appeal for fans of darker combat aesthetics; shares market spikes near Halloween or Necromancy patches. Consider **Necrotic Animations** or **Death’s Effect Override Scroll.** - **Cosmetic Rune Packs (e.g., Infernal, Frost):** These items often see synergistic demand around Treasure Hunter revivals or Necromancy updates. - **Black Partyhat or Halloween Masks:** High-tier trading tends to correlate; tracking rare price trends and demand signals cyclical peaks that ripple out into cosmetics like Warped Death Skulls. --- ### Seasonal Market Considerations 1. **Positive Seasons (Growth):** - **Spring (March–May):** Mid-season updates or patches often drive fresh buy-ins. - **Late Summer (July–September):** Active markets due to returning players. More willing to invest GP into cosmetics after the inflation curves of big skill launches. 2. **Negative Seasons (Declines):** - **January (Post-Holiday Slowdown):** GP hoarding; most cosmetics cool down. - **Early Winter (November–December):** Event-rich periods (e.g., Black Partyhat additions) steal spotlight from mid-tier cosmetics like Warped Death Skulls. --- ### Final Insights The **Warped Death Skulls Ability Scroll** is a speculative item heavily tied to Treasure Hunter re-releases and Necromancy-themed content demand spikes. Historical price charts prove the item responds dynamically to these catalysts, making it a high-ROI flipping target when bought at post-event dips. Deliberately focus trades around months where Necromancy synergistic updates occur, and hedge your portfolios with parallel cosmetics like Necrotic effects for broader diversification.