### Summary: **Warped Finger of Death Cosmetic Ability Scroll** The Warped Finger of Death cosmetic ability scroll is a coveted item in RuneScape, allowing players to unlock an alternative casting animation for the *Finger of Death* spell—one of the Necromancy combat abilities brought in with the Necromancy skill (August 2023). Released during promotional content tied to *Sanctum of Rebirth* (July 2024), this scroll was obtainable primarily through limited-edition Treasure Hunter events, rendering its availability time-sensitive and directly tied to gambling mechanics. Its stunning animation makes it highly desirable among PvM enthusiasts and collectors alike. Its rarity stems from both its limited-time release and the sheer luck required to obtain it from Treasure Hunter, compounded by the skill-specific prestige it confers. Additionally, unlike reskinned weapons, ability cosmetics cater specifically to a small but dedicated niche—players who emphasize aesthetics in competitive settings like PvM and high-end bossing. The scroll’s release coincided with the growing popularity of Necromancy, as Jagex regularly integrates cosmetics for new combat content, significantly inflating both demand and prices during the skill’s peak. --- ### Historical Price Analysis: Trends and Fluctuations The item’s price data reveals dramatic growth and subsequent volatility: - **Initial Phase (~300-250M):** From late October 2024 (release period), the price fluctuated from **255M** to **300M**, showing typical launch-phase volatility. This reflects high availability from Treasure Hunter players quick-selling for liquid GP, alongside early demand from Necromancy enthusiasts. - **Supply Exhaustion Phase (~250M → 449M):** By November 2024, prices climbed rapidly, reaching **450M**, as availability dwindled and Treasure Hunter concluded. Collectors and PvM-focused players, having missed the active release or waiting to re-enter post-promotion, drove demand spikes. - **Correction Phase (450M → 370M):** After peaking near **450M**, the scroll saw intermittent corrections, with its price dipping to **370M** by mid-December 2024. This aligns with player sell-offs as part of year-end cash-out cycles (likely foreseen due to *Black Partyhat* speculation from **December 2023**) or the realization that no immediate future ability-cosmetic updates were planned. This price history mirrors patterns observed in similar Treasure Hunter-exclusive cosmetics, where most value is dependent on scarcity and player experience cycles. --- ### Price Prediction: Coming Months (January–April 2025) - **January-February 2025 (Near-term):** Expect a continued minor decline as general Treasure Hunter cash-ins slow post-event, accompanied by a quieter demand season. Prices are likely to hover around **350–375M** unless there is targeted Treasure Hunter re-release content or a *Necromancy Rework* announcement, sparking renewed interest. - **March-April 2025 (Mid-term):** Around this time, *RuneScape combat updates* or new Necromancy cosmetics tied to Easter promotions are plausible. These seasonal factors and Jagex's tendency to integrate fresh skill-reliant content will likely spike demand again. As supply is scarce, prices may rebound closer to the **400–425M** range. **Key Variables Influencing Price:** 1. **Re-releases:** If Jagex reintroduces the scroll as part of *Treasure Hunter retrospectives*, its value will decline substantially (downward to **250M-300M or less**). 2. **Necromancy Expansion:** New bosses or endgame mechanics tied to Necromancy in upcoming content can reignite demand (upward to **500M+**). --- ### Typical Flipping Margins The Warped Finger of Death scroll currently provides decent flipping opportunities within a high-margin investment strategy. Items with speculative value and limited liquidity often fluctuate: - **Spread Margins:** It's common to buy at market lows (~**370M**) and sell during evening resets or promotions (~**410-420M**). Average flipping margins lie around **30–50M per trade**. - **Timing Tips:** - Look for buy opportunities immediately following rare *Treasure Hunter* promotions (players dumping GP for quick sales). - Sell during weeks with high bossing activity, Clan anniversaries, or Necromancy competitions. --- ### Similar Items to Invest In 1. **Mage and Range Ability Scroll Cosmetics** - Cosmetics tied to **Tsunami**, **Incendiary Shot**, or similar high-demand combat abilities show parallel market behaviors. These are generally cheaper and more liquid, making them safer choices. - Example: *Arcane Ripple ability scroll* (average trending 200–300M, similar percentage margins). 2. **Necromancy-Centric Cosmetics** - Necromancy prestige-driven items like *Deathdealer’s Aura* or *Soulbound Weapon Overrides* align well with this item due to the same collector’s niche. 3. **Treasure Hunter Seasonal Exclusives:** - Items from holiday run-ins or pay-to-play promotions (e.g., Santa's Gift Wrap or Easter cosmetics from Treasure Hunter) often spike in value post-promo. --- ### Seasonal Recommendations: Timing Conditions for Optimizing Investments #### **Positive Seasonal Timing:** - **Post-Spring Updates (April–May):** Easter-themed *Treasure Hunter* events often stimulate market interest while providing less competition. Items like cosmetics can experience temporary demand spikes by association. - **Fresh Boss Releases (Summer):** Boss-tier mechanics (especially Necromancy-focused) draw prestige buyers mid-year. #### **Negative Timing Factors:** - **Holiday-Driven Inflation (December):** Items typically peak from speculation over end-of-year limited editions (*Black Partyhat*-esque items). It’s inadvisable to liquidate then. - **Major Revamp Announcements (~June):** Fear of future floods (re-releases) can cause minor depressions in speculative items. --- In conclusion, the **Warped Finger of Death scroll** remains a top-tier speculative investment for experienced flippers and collectors, provided vigilance around demand cycles and Jagex behavior—especially content reintroductions. Look for neutral cash-in periods for flipping, with diversification into other elite PvM-linked abilities or rugged time-tested items.