### Summary of Vestments of Havoc Robe Bottom The Vestments of Havoc Robe Bottom is a high-tier Magic armor introduced with the release of the **Necromancy skill** (August 7, 2023). It is part of the Vestments of Havoc set, which provides bonuses to Necromancy abilities and enhances gameplay for the skill's combat style. This item is sought after primarily for high-level Necromancy training and bossing, making it a niche yet essential item for players focused on this style. The item’s rarity stems from its acquisition method—drops from **Necromancy-relevant encounters**, such as Kiliaki or the Ritual-specific chests. Supply is tightly controlled by dungeon participation and grinding rates, limiting the number in circulation. ### Historical Price Analysis and Insights Over time, the item's price has experienced intense volatility due to several RuneScape market phenomena: 1. **Launch Hype & Skill Expansion (August 2023)**: Prices peaked (around 400M GP to 428M GP) shortly after Necromancy’s launch, as elite players began purchasing max-efficiency setups. This drove early market demand. 2. **Necromancy Player Base Stabilization**: By late 2023, the player count and general interest dipped slightly, causing prices to average 240M–280M GP in late 2023 and early 2024. 3. **March 2024 Combat Update**: A RuneScape combat rebalancing update bolstered demand temporarily due to wider appeal to Magic combat users, pushing prices back toward ~261M GP, but the value crashed following the **April 2024 dupes and Treasure Hunter gold injection.** Inflation pressures throttled performance, pushing prices to 190-200M GP levels in mid-2024. 4. **Bond Price Increase, Content Drought (Summer 2024)**: The rise to $8.99 USD per Bond shrank cash liquidity in the game. However, the **Sanctum of Rebirth release (July 2024)** revived demand for high-caliber combat gear, temporarily lifting prices to ~195M GP. 5. **Subsequent Decline (Autumn 2024)**: The **GIM bank bug (November 2024)** rendered most rare or sought-after items into free-market dumping scenarios, leading to sudden stockpile liquidations. Prices fell to 130M GP in October 2024, bottoming out at ~165M GP in late November due to partial recovery. ### Price Trajectory Prediction Based on historical trends and market sensitivity to game changes: - **1 Month Outlook** (December 2024): Uncertain. Depending on holiday events or promotional Treasure Hunter mechanics, gold influx could create either demand surges (140M–170M GP) or further devaluation from GP inflation (~130M GP low). - **3-6 Month Outlook** (2025 Q1-Q2): Expect stability unless major PvM or Necromancy content is released. Without major updates, the robe bottom could hover between **155-200M GP**, with gradual appreciation as older Necromancy items grow rarer in circulation. - **1 Year Outlook** (2025 End): If Necromancy secures enduring popularity and remains unreworked, prices could rebound toward **180–240M GP**, especially if the item receives Heritage bonuses or "Legacy" enhancements in line with other combat-focused updates. However, further GP dilution risks stagnation or modest uptick (~170M GP). ### Historical Update Events Impact on Value - **Disruptive Downturns:** - **Dupes and Bugs:** The January 2023 scrimshaw dupe and April 2024 pet/gold dupes crushed price floors by flooding GP and items into the ecosystem. These events highlight severe sensitivity of rare combat gear to monetary inflation. - **Bond Price Changes (June 2024)**: Price hikes led to noticeable liquidity drops within free-market trades. - **Positive Spikes:** - **Skill and Combat Overhauls**: Necromancy launch (August 2023) and March 2024’s combat tweaks drove demand for Necromancy-specific setups, creating momentary price ceilings. - **Major Boss/Dungeon Additions (July 2024)**: New PvM content (Sanctum of Rebirth) renewed interest in powerful gear like Vestments, supporting modest recovery of the item’s value. ### Flipping Margins and Profitability - **Current Flipping Margins (November 2024)**: With the item hovering at 165M GP, flipping margins can reasonably range **5-8M GP per trade.** Volume frequency is limited, so consider mid-term holding to exploit future volatility. - Suggested buy price: ~160M GP. - Resell target: ~170-172M GP for faster trades or slightly higher (~175M GP) with patience. - **Flipping Strategy**: Best to focus around updates, patch weeks, or high-traffic periods (e.g., holidays) where casual buyers flood the market. Avoid holding long-term unless a Necromancy-specific meta resurgence feels probable. ### Comparative Items for Investment If investing in the Vestments set, diversify with complementary items that exhibit similar volatility or PvM synergies: 1. **Vestments of Havoc (Robe Top or Gloves)**: Often follows price fluctuations of the Robe Bottom. Margin spreads and demand for the full set may amplify value alongside meta changes. 2. **Cryptbloom Armor**: High-end Magic armor, demand linked with overall bossing metas. Though pricier, it mirrors the Vestments market in periods of economic turmoil. 3. **Sector-Specific Necromancy Consumables (E.g., Binding Candles, Infernal Ashes)**: Steady, consumable item whose price escalates naturally when training-centric holiday events emerge. ### Seasonal Market Trends - **Price Positive Seasons**: - **July–September (Post-Dungeon Releases)**: New bosses increase demand for PvM sets, especially for magic DPS. - **December-January Holiday Events:** Higher player activity generally boosts all high-demand rares. - **Price Negative Seasons**: - **Post-Dupe Fallout (March–June):** Historically poor or inflation-heavy months where GP surges lower overall item demand. - **Pre/New Skill Content Lulls:** Expect unnecessary price stagnation during content droughts (~February-May or mid-year gaps). ### Key Takeaways Investing in the Vestments of Havoc Robe Bottom hinges heavily on Necromancy’s continuing appeal. Short-term flipping (~5-8M GP margins) remains profitable even in its deflationary period, but larger gains may require patience for PvM-heavy game updates. Diversify with similar PvM/Necromancy gear while avoiding heavy speculative holding when meta shifts seem distant.